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Kapaz vs SumQayit FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Tovuz şəhər stadionu, Tovuz
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Match Events

2' Event
Ohori R.
13'
Ba M.
19' Event
Pachu

AI Match Summary

Kapaz in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kapaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Kapaz
30%
Draws
12%
SumQayit FK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kapaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kapaz lately — more wins on the board than SumQayit FK.
  • Win probability leans Kapaz's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 68%
SumQayit FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz SumQayit FK
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.76 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Premier League
Kapaz vs SumQayit FK
1:1
May 2, 2026 Premier League
Kapaz vs SumQayit FK
2:1
Feb 27, 2026 Premier League
Kapaz vs SumQayit FK
3:0
Aug 17, 2025 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Kapaz
3:0
May 11, 2025 Premier League
Kapaz vs SumQayit FK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ohori R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pachu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

SumQayit FK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 59 / 100
SumQayit FK 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz SumQayit FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kapaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SumQayit FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Kapaz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

SumQayit FK's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kapaz VS SumQayit FK
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz

(Home)
09 Oct
Araz PFK
0 : 2
Kapaz
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
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SumQayit FK

(Away)
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
SumQayit FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
16 Aug
SumQayit FK
1 : 3
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 33 24 6 3 75:25 78
2 Qarabag Agdam 33 21 6 6 71:27 69
3 Turan 33 17 8 8 44:27 59
4 Neftci Baku 33 16 11 6 57:32 59
5 Zira FK 33 13 14 6 43:36 53
6 Araz PFK 33 13 7 13 44:58 46
7 SumQayit FK 33 12 5 16 45:49 41
8 Shamakhi 33 9 11 13 31:40 38
9 Imisli FK 33 7 13 13 23:43 34
10 Kapaz 33 8 3 22 25:61 27
11 Gabala 33 7 6 20 32:49 27
12 Karvan 33 3 6 24 23:66 15
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)