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Kapaz vs Turan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup Tovuz şəhər stadionu, Tovuz
Kapaz Logo

Kapaz

0 - 2
FT
Turan Logo

Turan

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Silva J.
31'
Verdasca D.
45'
Shahverdiyev E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kapaz
20%
Draws
40%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Turan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kapaz's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Turan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Turan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 20%
Turan Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz Turan
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.71 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League
Kapaz vs Turan
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Kapaz vs Turan
1:1
Mar 5, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Kapaz vs Turan
0:2
Feb 5, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Turan vs Kapaz
1:0
Dec 19, 2025 Premier League
Kapaz vs Turan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapaz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hurtado H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 42 / 100
Turan 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Kapaz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kapaz found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Turan conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kapaz VS Turan
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz

(Home)
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
15 Aug
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Kapaz
Page 1 of 6

Turan

(Away)
03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sabail 0
Shamakhi 1
Goygol 0
Baku Sporting 2
Qarabag Agdam -
TBD -
Karvan 3
Sheki City 1
Lokbatan 2
Imisli FK 3
TBD -
Sabah Baku -
Gabala 5
Mingachevir 1
Gancabasar 0
Safa Baku 3
Shimal 0
Sahdag Qusar 2
Dinamo Baki 0
Turan 5
Araz PFK -
TBD -
Kapaz 6
Agstafa Gencleri 1
FC Khankendi 1
Difai Agsu 2
Zaqatala PFK 0
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK -
TBD -
Neftci Baku 6
MOIK Baku 2
1/8-finals
Shamakhi 1
Baku Sporting 0
Qarabag Agdam 3
Karvan 0
Imisli FK 1
Sabah Baku 2
Gabala 2
Safa Baku 1
Sahdag Qusar 1
Turan 2
Araz PFK 0
Kapaz 1
Difai Agsu 1
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK 1
Neftci Baku 0
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi 3
Qarabag Agdam 4
Sabah Baku 4
Gabala 3
Turan 3
Kapaz 0
SumQayit FK 0
Zira FK 2
Semi-finals
Qarabag Agdam 3
Sabah Baku 4
Turan 0
Zira FK 2
Final
Sabah Baku 2
Zira FK 1