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Kapaz vs Turan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup Tovuz şəhər stadionu, Tovuz
Kapaz Logo

Kapaz

0 - 2
FT
Turan Logo

Turan

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Silva J.
31'
Verdasca D.
45'
Shahverdiyev E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kapaz
15%
Draws
42%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kapaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Turan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Turan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Turan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Turan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 16%
Turan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz Turan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.66 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Kapaz vs Turan
1:1
Mar 5, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Kapaz vs Turan
0:2
Feb 5, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Turan vs Kapaz
1:0
Dec 19, 2025 Premier League
Kapaz vs Turan
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Turan vs Kapaz
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapaz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hurtado H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 31 / 100
Turan 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Turan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kapaz found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Turan has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kapaz VS Turan
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz

(Home)
15 Aug
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Kapaz
23 May
Kapaz
0 : 1
Neftci Baku
15 May
Araz PFK
2 : 0
Kapaz
08 May
Sabah Baku
0 : 1
Kapaz
02 May
Kapaz
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
Page 1 of 6

Turan

(Away)
14 Aug
Turan
1 : 0
Gabala
22 May
Turan
1 : 2
Sabah Baku
16 May
Shamakhi
3 : 2
Turan
10 May
Turan
1 : 0
Karvan
04 May
Qarabag Agdam
2 : 1
Turan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sabail 0
Shamakhi 1
Goygol 0
Baku Sporting 2
Qarabag Agdam -
TBD -
Karvan 3
Sheki City 1
Lokbatan 2
Imisli FK 3
TBD -
Sabah Baku -
Gabala 5
Mingachevir 1
Cebrayil 0
Safa Baku 3
Shimal 0
Sahdag Qusar 2
Dinamo Baki 0
Turan 5
Araz PFK -
TBD -
Kapaz 6
Agstafa Gencleri 1
FC Khankendi 1
Difai Agsu 2
Zaqatala PFK 0
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK -
TBD -
Neftci Baku 6
MOIK Baku 2
1/8-finals
Shamakhi 1
Baku Sporting 0
Qarabag Agdam 3
Karvan 0
Imisli FK 1
Sabah Baku 2
Gabala 2
Safa Baku 1
Sahdag Qusar 1
Turan 2
Araz PFK 0
Kapaz 1
Difai Agsu 1
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK 1
Neftci Baku 0
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi 3
Qarabag Agdam 4
Sabah Baku 4
Gabala 3
Turan 3
Kapaz 0
SumQayit FK 0
Zira FK 2
Semi-finals
Qarabag Agdam 3
Sabah Baku 4
Turan 0
Zira FK 2
Final
Sabah Baku 2
Zira FK 1