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Kapaz vs Turan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Ganja City Stadium, Gäncä
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Fofana A.
19'
Alasgarov N.
24'
Abbasov U.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Kapaz and Turan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kapaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kapaz
20%
Draws
46%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kapaz haven't matched Turan's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 20%
Turan Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapaz Turan
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.68 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League
Kapaz vs Turan
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Kapaz vs Turan
1:1
Mar 5, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Kapaz vs Turan
0:2
Feb 5, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Turan vs Kapaz
1:0
Dec 19, 2025 Premier League
Kapaz vs Turan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Stina V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Turan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapaz 32 / 100
Turan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapaz Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Kapaz's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Turan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Kapaz has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kapaz VS Turan
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapaz

(Home)
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
15 Aug
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Kapaz
23 May
Kapaz
0 : 1
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 6

Turan

(Away)
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
23 Aug
Turan
0 : 0
Shamakhi
14 Aug
Turan
1 : 0
Gabala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 4 4 0 0 11:0 12
2 Neftci Baku 5 4 0 1 15:5 12
3 Qarabag Agdam 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
4 Zira FK 5 3 1 1 7:7 10
5 Turan 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
6 Kapaz 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
7 Shamakhi 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
8 Gabala 5 1 1 3 2:4 4
9 Imisli FK 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
10 Safa Baku 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
11 Araz PFK 5 0 2 3 4:11 2
12 SumQayit FK 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)