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Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Ario Eslamshahr

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
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Match Events

2' Event
Eisalou A.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Kara Gostar Shabestar and Ario Eslamshahr finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ario Eslamshahr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
30%
Draws
34%
Ario Eslamshahr
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kara Gostar Shabestar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Kara Gostar Shabestar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kara Gostar Shabestar a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 19.6%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 68%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kara Gostar Shabestar Ario Eslamshahr
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 14
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:1
Sep 4, 2025 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
2:1
Feb 13, 2025 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Ario Eslamshahr
3:3
Apr 9, 2024 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kara Gostar Shabestar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Eisalou A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kara Gostar Shabestar 46 / 100
Ario Eslamshahr 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kara Gostar Shabestar Ario Eslamshahr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Kara Gostar Shabestar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Kara Gostar Shabestar scored in 38% of their last 29 games.

Ario Eslamshahr has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kara Gostar Shabestar VS Ario Eslamshahr
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran33209447:1569
2Mes Shahr Babak331811439:1465
3Pars Janoobi Jam331512642:2157
4Sanat Naft331512635:2157
5Saipa331511729:1856
6Havadar SC331117532:2050
7Naft Bandar Abbas331017626:1847
8Fard331015824:1545
9Mes Kerman33915920:1842
10Ario Eslamshahr33816917:1740
11Besat Kermanshah339111324:3038
12Niroye Zamini338121328:2936
13Naft Gachsaran337141225:3935
14Kara Gostar Shabestar338101516:3434
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm337111520:3632
16Shahrdari Noshahr335151318:2830
17Navad Urmia334121716:4524
18Damash Gilan332121916:5618