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Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Darya Babol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Division 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Ghoreishi M.

AI Match Summary

Kara Gostar Shabestar in this Division 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kara Gostar Shabestar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
35%
Draws
40%
Darya Babol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Darya Babol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kara Gostar Shabestar lately — more wins on the board than Darya Babol.
  • Darya Babol are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 24%
Darya Babol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kara Gostar Shabestar Darya Babol
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 15 12
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.56 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2024 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Darya Babol
1:0
Sep 10, 2023 Azadegan League
Darya Babol vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kara Gostar Shabestar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghoreishi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Darya Babol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kara Gostar Shabestar 29 / 100
Darya Babol 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kara Gostar Shabestar Darya Babol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Darya Babol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Darya Babol conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kara Gostar Shabestar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Kara Gostar Shabestar's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kara Gostar Shabestar VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kara Gostar Shabestar

(Home)
04 Oct
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
Page 1 of 8

Darya Babol

(Away)
10 Jun
Chadormalu
1 : 0
Darya Babol
05 Jun
Darya Babol
3 : 1
Pars Janoobi Jam
30 May
Shahre Raz
1 : 1
Darya Babol
13 May
Darya Babol
2 : 0
Esteghlal Molasani
08 May
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 0
Darya Babol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kheybar Khorramabad 34 25 2 7 59:25 77
2 Fajr Sepasi 34 22 7 5 50:17 73
3 Chadormalu 34 22 7 5 47:20 73
4 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 34 16 13 5 47:29 58
5 Saipa 34 13 11 10 35:28 50
6 Mes Kerman 34 11 15 8 28:24 48
7 Ario Eslamshahr 34 11 13 10 28:28 46
8 Mes Shahr Babak 34 11 11 12 32:26 44
9 Naft Gachsaran 34 10 13 11 35:26 43
10 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 11 10 13 27:34 43
11 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 11 10 13 33:42 43
12 Esteghlal Molasani 34 10 13 11 26:33 38
13 Shahre Raz 34 8 12 14 25:34 36
14 Shahrdari Astara 34 9 6 19 22:44 33
15 Damash Gilan 34 7 11 16 32:45 32
16 Darya Babol 34 6 13 15 30:41 31
17 Shahin Bandar Ameri 34 4 9 8 21:51 27
18 Khoosheh Talai 34 6 6 22 17:47 24
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