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Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Mes Kerman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar Logo

Kara Gostar Shabestar

1 - 1
FT
Mes Kerman Logo

Mes Kerman

Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Farajpour M.
60' Event
Shourabadi A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Azadegan League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
35%
Draws
35%
Mes Kerman
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Kara Gostar Shabestar have won more games recently than Mes Kerman.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 20%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kara Gostar Shabestar Mes Kerman
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 11 15
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.52 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Mes Kerman
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
0:0
Sep 23, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Mes Kerman
0:1
Jan 23, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Mes Kerman
0:0
Sep 9, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kara Gostar Shabestar Compare

Top Goalscorer Farajpour M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Mes Kerman Compare

Top Goalscorer Shourabadi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kara Gostar Shabestar 32 / 100
Mes Kerman 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kara Gostar Shabestar Mes Kerman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kara Gostar Shabestar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Kara Gostar Shabestar scored in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Mes Kerman conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kara Gostar Shabestar VS Mes Kerman
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kara Gostar Shabestar

(Home)
04 Oct
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
Page 1 of 6

Mes Kerman

(Away)
05 Oct
Niroye Zamini
0 : 0
Mes Kerman
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Saipa
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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