Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karacabey Bld. vs Inegolspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karacabey Bld. play Inegolspor in the 2. Lig White Group. It looks like a close match. Recently, Karacabey Bld. averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Inegolspor averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Karacabey Bld. won 2, Inegolspor won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 18, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Karacabey Bld. and 1.56 for Inegolspor. This points to a Inegolspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Karacabey Bld.
26%
Draws
42%
Inegolspor
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Inegolspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Karacabey Bld. picked up more points recently compared to Inegolspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Karacabey Bld. Clean Sheet 15%
Inegolspor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karacabey Bld. Inegolspor
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.41 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Karacabey Bld. vs Inegolspor
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Inegolspor vs Karacabey Bld.
2:1
Apr 30, 2011 3. Lig Group 1
Inegolspor vs Karacabey Bld.
0:0
Dec 9, 2010 3. Lig Group 1
Karacabey Bld. vs Inegolspor
2:0
Mar 28, 2010 3. Lig Group 1
Karacabey Bld. vs Inegolspor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karacabey Bld. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Inegolspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozan Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karacabey Bld. 32 / 100
Inegolspor 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karacabey Bld. Inegolspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Inegolspor or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Karacabey Bld. attacking → ← attacking Inegolspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karacabey Bld. scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Inegolspor let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Karacabey Bld. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Inegolspor lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 50
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Batman Petrolspor36258386:3383
2Muglaspor36219651:1972
3Elazigspor36216982:3769
4Adana 01361910755:3567
5Sanliurfaspor36198963:4365
6Ankaragucu36189952:4163
7Inegolspor361612867:4460
8Iskenderunspor361681250:4456
9Beyoglu Yeni Carsi361315845:3554
10Ankaraspor3613131064:5452
1124Erzincanspor361561555:4951
12Kastamonuspor361191644:5642
13Karacabey Bld.361181746:5541
14Altinordu368111733:5935
15Erbaaspor361071940:6134
16Beykoz Anadolu36862237:6630
17Kepez Bld.36582333:7823
18Karaman FK36492330:8621
19Bucaspor 192836482438:7617