Sport Picks
Karacabey Bld. vs Kastamonuspor
Turkey
2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 
Match Events
22'
22'
Gumus Y.
Assist: Derin M.
43'
43'
Yilmaz E.
Assist: Kose I. C.
66'
66'
Ozdiraz M.
Assist: Kose I. C.
AI Match Summary
The 2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 game between Karacabey Bld. and Kastamonuspor finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karacabey Bld..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karacabey Bld.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Karacabey Bld. carry the better recent record into this one.
- Karacabey Bld. are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular 2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Karacabey Bld. Clean Sheet 68%
Kastamonuspor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karacabey Bld. | Kastamonuspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Karacabey Bld. vs Kastamonuspor
4:0
Dec 7, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Kastamonuspor vs Karacabey Bld.
2:1
Apr 19, 2023 2. Lig Red Group
Kastamonuspor vs Karacabey Bld.
1:2
Nov 13, 2022 2. Lig Red Group
Karacabey Bld. vs Kastamonuspor
4:2
Feb 19, 2022 2. Lig White Group
Karacabey Bld. vs Kastamonuspor
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Karacabey Bld. Compare
Top Goalscorer Ozdiraz M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gumus Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
Kastamonuspor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Karacabey Bld. 95 / 100
Kastamonuspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Karacabey Bld. Kastamonuspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Karacabey Bld. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kastamonuspor has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Karacabey Bld. found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Karacabey Bld. has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Karacabey Bld. VS Kastamonuspor
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Karacabey Bld.
(Home) 03 Oct
Fethiyespor
0 : 1 Karacabey Bld.
27 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 4 Ankaragucu
20 Sept
Inegolspor
0 : 1 Karacabey Bld.
06 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 1 Serik Spor
24 Apr
Karacabey Bld.
0 : 1 Bucaspor 1928
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 4 Ankaragucu
06 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 1 Serik Spor
24 Apr
Karacabey Bld.
0 : 1 Bucaspor 1928
12 Apr
Karacabey Bld.
3 : 3 Ankaraspor
04 Apr
Karacabey Bld.
4 : 0 Kastamonuspor
Page 1 of 3
Kastamonuspor
(Away) 04 Oct
Kastamonuspor
2 : 1 Arnavutkoy Bl.
26 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
4 : 1 Kastamonuspor
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0 Hatayspor
13 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
3 : 0 Kastamonuspor
06 Sept
Kastamonuspor
0 : 5 Corluspor
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
4 : 1 Kastamonuspor
13 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
3 : 0 Kastamonuspor
12 Apr
Sanliurfaspor
5 : 2 Kastamonuspor
04 Apr
Karacabey Bld.
4 : 0 Kastamonuspor
25 Mar
Altinordu
1 : 0 Kastamonuspor
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Batman Petrolspor | 36 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 86:33 | 83 |
| 2 | Muglaspor | 36 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 51:19 | 72 |
| 3 | Elazigspor | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 82:37 | 69 |
| 4 | Adana 01 | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 55:35 | 67 |
| 5 | Sanliurfaspor | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 63:43 | 65 |
| 6 | Ankaragucu | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Inegolspor | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 67:44 | 60 |
| 8 | Iskenderunspor | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 50:44 | 56 |
| 9 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 36 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 45:35 | 54 |
| 10 | Ankaraspor | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 64:54 | 52 |
| 11 | 24Erzincanspor | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 55:49 | 51 |
| 12 | Kastamonuspor | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44:56 | 42 |
| 13 | Karacabey Bld. | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46:55 | 41 |
| 14 | Altinordu | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 33:59 | 35 |
| 15 | Erbaaspor | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 40:61 | 34 |
| 16 | Beykoz Anadolu | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 37:66 | 30 |
| 17 | Kepez Bld. | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 33:78 | 23 |
| 18 | Karaman FK | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 30:86 | 21 |
| 19 | Bucaspor 1928 | 36 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 38:76 | 17 |
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)
