Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karacabey Bld. vs Manavgatspor

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Harlak A.
71' Event
Serin A.
90' Event
Baykus S.

AI Match Summary

The TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 game between Karacabey Bld. and Manavgatspor finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karacabey Bld..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Karacabey Bld.
20%
Draws
0%
Manavgatspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karacabey Bld.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karacabey Bld. come out ahead of Manavgatspor on wins alone.
  • Model gives Karacabey Bld. a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Karacabey Bld. Clean Sheet 16%
Manavgatspor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karacabey Bld. Manavgatspor
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.48 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2017 3. Lig Group 1
Karacabey Bld. vs Manavgatspor
4:0
Sep 25, 2016 3. Lig Group 1
Manavgatspor vs Karacabey Bld.
1:1
Mar 7, 2015 3. Lig Group 1
Karacabey Bld. vs Manavgatspor
3:0
Oct 18, 2014 3. Lig Group 1
Manavgatspor vs Karacabey Bld.
0:0
May 4, 2014 3. Lig Group 2
Manavgatspor vs Karacabey Bld.
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karacabey Bld. Compare

Top Goalscorer Serin A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Harlak A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Manavgatspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karacabey Bld. 84 / 100
Manavgatspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karacabey Bld. Manavgatspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karacabey Bld. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manavgatspor let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Manavgatspor's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Karacabey Bld.'s goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Karacabey Bld. VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karacabey Bld.

(Home)
27 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 4
Ankaragucu
20 Sept
Inegolspor
0 : 1
Karacabey Bld.
06 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 1
Serik Spor
24 Apr
Karacabey Bld.
0 : 1
Bucaspor 1928
19 Apr
Beykoz Anadolu
2 : 2
Karacabey Bld.
Page 1 of 6

Manavgatspor

(Away)
29 Apr
Manavgatspor
2 : 4
Iskenderunspor
23 Apr
Cizrespor
4 : 0
Manavgatspor
14 Apr
Manavgatspor
0 : 1
Ankara Demirspor
09 Apr
Tekirdagspor
2 : 1
Manavgatspor
05 Apr
Manavgatspor
1 : 2
Golcukspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sancaktepe 36 20 12 4 52:22 72
2 Altay 36 17 13 6 67:41 64
3 Ankara Demirspor 36 17 13 6 54:35 64
4 Kocaelispor 36 16 13 7 55:35 61
5 Corum FK 36 16 10 10 46:29 58
6 Golcukspor 36 15 11 10 48:41 56
7 Kizilcabolukspor 36 13 13 10 42:37 52
8 Vanspor FK 36 12 12 12 36:42 48
9 24Erzincanspor 36 12 12 12 42:36 48
10 Bayburt Ozel Idare 36 12 11 13 41:41 47
11 Kozanspor 36 11 12 13 41:44 45
12 Iskenderunspor 36 12 9 15 43:53 45
13 Cizrespor 36 10 12 14 32:43 42
14 Karacabey Bld. 36 10 10 16 59:61 40
15 Tekirdagspor 36 9 12 15 32:47 39
16 Kartalspor 36 11 6 19 33:47 39
17 Beylerbeyi SK 36 9 11 16 46:57 38
18 Kutahyaspor 36 8 11 17 38:63 35
19 Manavgatspor 36 4 13 19 27:60 25
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)