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Karacabey Bld. vs Serik Spor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Ozgun B.
Assist: Dama A.
72' Event
Celenk E.
Assist: Kosker K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2. Lig Red Group matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Karacabey Bld.
20%
Draws
33%
Serik Spor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karacabey Bld.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Serik Spor haven't matched Karacabey Bld.'s recent run of results.
  • Model gives Karacabey Bld. a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Karacabey Bld. Clean Sheet 19%
Serik Spor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karacabey Bld. Serik Spor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.45 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Karacabey Bld. vs Serik Spor
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Serik Spor vs Karacabey Bld.
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Karacabey Bld. vs Serik Spor
1:2
Feb 4, 2024 2. Lig White Group
Karacabey Bld. vs Serik Spor
1:1
Sep 23, 2023 2. Lig White Group
Serik Spor vs Karacabey Bld.
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karacabey Bld. Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozgun B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Serik Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Celenk E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karacabey Bld. 40 / 100
Serik Spor 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karacabey Bld. Serik Spor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karacabey Bld. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serik Spor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Karacabey Bld. scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Karacabey Bld. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karacabey Bld. VS Serik Spor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karacabey Bld.

(Home)
07 Oct
Karacabey Bld.
3 : 2
Galata Spor Kulubu
03 Oct
Fethiyespor
0 : 1
Karacabey Bld.
27 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 4
Ankaragucu
20 Sept
Inegolspor
0 : 1
Karacabey Bld.
06 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 1
Serik Spor
Page 1 of 6

Serik Spor

(Away)
08 Oct
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 1
Serik Spor
03 Oct
Trabzon FK
4 : 1
Serik Spor
27 Sept
Serik Spor
0 : 1
Fethiyespor
19 Sept
Ankaragucu
1 : 1
Serik Spor
13 Sept
Serik Spor
2 : 1
Inegolspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sakaryaspor 5 5 0 0 13:4 15
2 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Adana 01 5 3 1 1 11:10 10
4 52 Orduspor 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
5 24Erzincanspor 5 2 3 0 9:7 9
6 K. Istklalspor 5 2 2 1 5:5 8
7 Ankaragucu 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
8 Trabzon FK 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
9 Ankara Demirspor 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
10 Karacabey Bld. 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
11 12 Bingol Spor 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Serik Spor 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
13 Kirklarelispor 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
14 Fethiyespor 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
15 Kutahyaspor 5 1 0 4 5:10 3
16 Inegolspor 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
17 Iskenderunspor 4 0 0 4 3:13 -2
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)