Sport Picks
Match Events
38'
38'
Saygi V.
Assist: Kandemir C.
65'
65'
Vural C. M.
Assist: Peksen H.
AI Match Summary
The 3. Lig Group 1 game between Karadeniz Eregli and Fatsa Bld. finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Karadeniz Eregli come out ahead of Fatsa Bld. on wins alone.
- Model gives Karadeniz Eregli a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Karadeniz Eregli Clean Sheet 18%
Fatsa Bld. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karadeniz Eregli | Fatsa Bld. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Karadeniz Eregli vs Fatsa Bld.
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Fatsa Bld. vs Karadeniz Eregli
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Karadeniz Eregli vs Fatsa Bld.
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Karadeniz Eregli Compare
Top Goalscorer Saygi V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Fatsa Bld. Compare
Top Goalscorer Vural C. M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Karadeniz Eregli 36 / 100
Fatsa Bld. 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Karadeniz Eregli Fatsa Bld.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Karadeniz Eregli scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Karadeniz Eregli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Fatsa Bld. conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Karadeniz Eregli VS Fatsa Bld.
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Karadeniz Eregli
(Home) 27 Sept
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 0 Amasyaspor
19 Sept
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0 : 0 Karadeniz Eregli
12 Sept
Bulvarspor
0 : 1 Karadeniz Eregli
06 Sept
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 1 Fatsa Bld.
28 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
0 : 3 Yozgat
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 0 Amasyaspor
06 Sept
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 1 Fatsa Bld.
28 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
0 : 3 Yozgat
18 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
5 : 3 Orduspor 1967
05 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 0 Cayeli SK
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Fatsa Bld.
(Away) 27 Sept
Fatsa Bld.
3 : 0 Yesil Yalova FK
19 Sept
Silivrispor
0 : 2 Fatsa Bld.
12 Sept
Fatsa Bld.
1 : 1 Amasyaspor
06 Sept
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 1 Fatsa Bld.
28 Apr
52 Orduspor
4 : 1 Fatsa Bld.
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Silivrispor
0 : 2 Fatsa Bld.
06 Sept
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 1 Fatsa Bld.
28 Apr
52 Orduspor
4 : 1 Fatsa Bld.
12 Apr
Amasyaspor
1 : 0 Fatsa Bld.
29 Mar
Zonguldak Komurspor
2 : 1 Fatsa Bld.
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fatsa Bld. | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Orduspor 1967 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Kucukcekmece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 4 | Karadeniz Eregli | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 8 |
| 5 | Bulvarspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 6 | Pazarspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Karabuk Idmanyurdu | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 8 | Galata Spor Kulubu | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 9 | Duzcespor | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 10 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 11 | Amasyaspor | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Golcukspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Yesil Yalova FK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Silivrispor | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 16 | Beykoz Anadolu | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 17 | Zonguldak Komurspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Beykoz Ishakli Spor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)
