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Karadeniz Eregli vs Yozgat

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 Sehit Vefa Karakurdu, Zonguldak
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Mengi A.
81' Event
Inci Y.
Assist: Yildirim M.
83' Event
Arslantas O.
Assist: Firtina E.

AI Match Summary

Yozgat in this 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Karadeniz Eregli
30%
Draws
18%
Yozgat
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karadeniz Eregli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Karadeniz Eregli have won more games recently than Yozgat.
  • Karadeniz Eregli are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Karadeniz Eregli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Yozgat, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Karadeniz Eregli Clean Sheet 68%
Yozgat Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karadeniz Eregli Yozgat
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Karadeniz Eregli vs Yozgat
0:3
Apr 24, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Yozgat vs Karadeniz Eregli
1:0
Jan 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Karadeniz Eregli vs Yozgat
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Yozgat vs Karadeniz Eregli
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karadeniz Eregli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Yozgat Compare

Top Goalscorer Mengi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Inci Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karadeniz Eregli 95 / 100
Yozgat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karadeniz Eregli Yozgat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karadeniz Eregli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Karadeniz Eregli stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Karadeniz Eregli scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Yozgat has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

Karadeniz Eregli VS Yozgat
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karadeniz Eregli

(Home)
03 Oct
Silivrispor
0 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
27 Sept
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 0
Amasyaspor
19 Sept
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
12 Sept
Bulvarspor
0 : 1
Karadeniz Eregli
06 Sept
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 1
Fatsa Bld.
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Yozgat

(Away)
03 Oct
Yozgat
1 : 9
Malatya
26 Sept
Karakopru
2 : 0
Yozgat
19 Sept
Yozgat
1 : 0
Adana Adaletgucu
12 Sept
Nigde
3 : 1
Yozgat
06 Sept
Yozgat
0 : 4
Kirsehir SK
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Corluspor 4
Bursa Yildirimspor 3
Kucukcekmece 2
Etimesgut 1
Erciyes 38 3
Mazidagi 1
Silifke 2
Malatya 4
52 Orduspor 7
Fatsa Bld. 2
Karadeniz Eregli 0
Yozgat 4
Eskisehirspor 4
Balikesirspor 2
Karsiyaka 0
Ayvalikgucu 2
Semi-finals
Corluspor 4
Kucukcekmece 2
Erciyes 38 3
Malatya 4
52 Orduspor 2
Yozgat 1
Eskisehirspor 0
Ayvalikgucu 2
Final
Corluspor 1
Malatya 0
52 Orduspor 2
Ayvalikgucu 1