Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karbach vs Worms

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Catovic I.
21' Event
Ike K.
(Penalty)
59' Event
Ike K.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2024/2025 game between Karbach and Worms finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Karbach
20%
Draws
51%
Worms
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Worms

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Karbach haven't matched Worms's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Karbach Clean Sheet 10%
Worms Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karbach Worms
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.23 2.29
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Karbach vs Worms
3:2
Sep 7, 2024 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Worms vs Karbach
2:2
Apr 27, 2024 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Karbach vs Worms
1:1
Sep 30, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Worms vs Karbach
3:0
May 28, 2022 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Worms vs Karbach
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Ike K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mahrla J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Worms Compare

Top Goalscorer Catovic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karbach 30 / 100
Worms 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karbach Worms

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Worms Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worms let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Karbach found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Karbach stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Worms
0 Goals Scored 3.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Karbach

(Home)
28 May
Karbach
1 : 2
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
25 May
Auersmacher
4 : 0
Karbach
17 May
Morlautern
0 : 3
Karbach
10 May
Karbach
3 : 3
Diefflen
03 May
Mechtersheim
3 : 1
Karbach
Page 1 of 6

Worms

(Away)
13 Sept
Worms
3 : 2
TuS Koblenz
09 Sept
TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim
3 : 3
Worms
05 Sept
Worms
5 : 1
RW Wittlich
29 Aug
Gonsenheim
6 : 2
Worms
22 Aug
Worms
1 : 2
Auersmacher
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schott Mainz 34 29 4 1 117:24 91
2 Kaiserslautern II 34 25 5 4 121:45 80
3 Pirmasens 34 23 9 2 92:27 78
4 TuS Koblenz 34 23 2 9 70:38 71
5 Worms 34 16 7 11 66:59 55
6 Gonsenheim 34 14 9 11 71:58 51
7 Engers 34 14 5 15 63:66 47
8 Rot-Weiss Koblenz 34 12 9 13 56:57 45
9 Arminia Ludwigshafen 34 13 5 16 67:63 44
10 Karbach 34 10 8 16 45:63 38
11 Diefflen 34 9 9 16 61:79 36
12 Idar-Oberstein 34 10 6 18 42:69 36
13 Eisbachtal 34 9 8 17 63:84 35
14 Eppelborn 34 10 4 20 48:97 34
15 Auersmacher 34 9 6 19 57:74 33
16 Mechtersheim 34 8 9 17 39:74 33
17 Viktoria Herxheim 34 10 3 21 45:89 33
18 Morlautern 34 6 4 24 49:106 22
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)