Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Benarif K.
(Penalty)
51'
51'
Ouattara M.
57'
57'
Rashed S.
AI Match Summary
The Stars League 2024/2025 game between Karbala and Al-Qassim finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karbala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Karbala come out ahead of Al-Qassim on wins alone.
- Model gives Karbala a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Karbala Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Qassim Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karbala | Al-Qassim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 20 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 2.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 22, 2025 Stars League
Karbala vs Al-Qassim
3:3
Jan 13, 2025 Stars League
Al-Qassim vs Karbala
1:0
Jul 13, 2024 Stars League
Karbala vs Al-Qassim
1:1
Mar 1, 2024 Stars League
Al-Qassim vs Karbala
0:1
May 17, 2023 Stars League
Al-Qassim vs Karbala
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Karbala Compare
Top Goalscorer Ouattara M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Talib H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Al-Qassim Compare
Top Goalscorer Rashed S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rahim H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Karbala 36 / 100
Al-Qassim 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Karbala Al-Qassim
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Qassim let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Away concern: Al-Qassim has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Karbala's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Karbala VS Al-Qassim
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Karbala
(Home) 18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3 Erbil
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1 Karbala
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0 Al Karkh
30 Aug
Al-Karma
2 : 0 Karbala
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3 Erbil
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0 Al Karkh
21 Aug
Karbala
1 : 1 Al Zawraa
04 Jul
Karbala
2 : 3 Al-Hudod
Page 1 of 3
Al-Qassim
(Away) 01 Jun
Al Mosul
3 : 0 Al-Qassim
28 May
Al-Qassim
1 : 2 Al Najaf
19 May
Al-Qassim
2 : 5 Naft Missan
14 May
Al Zawraa
1 : 1 Al-Qassim
10 May
Duhok
2 : 1 Al-Qassim
Page 1 of 6
01 Jun
Al Mosul
3 : 0 Al-Qassim
14 May
Al Zawraa
1 : 1 Al-Qassim
10 May
Duhok
2 : 1 Al-Qassim
02 May
Baghdad
2 : 2 Al-Qassim
22 Apr
Al Shorta
3 : 1 Al-Qassim
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Shorta | 38 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 75:23 | 87 |
| 2 | Al Zawraa | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 56:28 | 77 |
| 3 | Zakho | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 57:25 | 71 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 40:27 | 63 |
| 5 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 51:43 | 60 |
| 6 | Al Naft | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 32:27 | 59 |
| 7 | Duhok | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 47:41 | 57 |
| 8 | Al-Karma | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 43:35 | 56 |
| 9 | Newroz | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 46:41 | 53 |
| 10 | Al-Qassim | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 43:43 | 52 |
| 11 | Naft Missan | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 42:46 | 51 |
| 12 | Erbil | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 49:61 | 50 |
| 13 | Al Kahraba | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 39:41 | 49 |
| 14 | Al Najaf | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 37:36 | 46 |
| 15 | Al Karkh | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 40:49 | 46 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 39:44 | 43 |
| 17 | Diyala | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 31:50 | 41 |
| 18 | Naft Al-Basra | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 32:57 | 33 |
| 19 | Al-Hudod | 38 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 37:79 | 26 |
| 20 | Karbala | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 26:66 | 22 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
