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Karbi Anglong vs Minerva Punjab - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

Durand Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Olaleye J. M.
73' Event
Ranbir P.
90' Event
Sanathoi Singh K.

AI Match Summary

Minerva Punjab in this Durand Cup 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Karbi Anglong
20%
Draws
65%
Minerva Punjab
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Minerva Punjab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Minerva Punjab have won more games recently than Karbi Anglong.
  • Model gives Minerva Punjab a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Minerva Punjab arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Minerva Punjab, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Karbi Anglong Clean Sheet 15%
Minerva Punjab Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karbi Anglong Minerva Punjab
Matches Played 22 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.91 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.64 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2025 Durand Cup
Karbi Anglong vs Minerva Punjab
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karbi Anglong Compare

Top Goalscorer Olaleye J. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Minerva Punjab Compare

Top Goalscorer Ranbir P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanathoi Singh K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karbi Anglong 10 / 100
Minerva Punjab 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karbi Anglong Minerva Punjab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minerva Punjab Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karbi Anglong found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (22 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Minerva Punjab conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Karbi Anglong has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karbi Anglong VS Minerva Punjab
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karbi Anglong

(Home)
13 Aug
Bodoland FC
6 : 0
Karbi Anglong
08 Aug
North East United
4 : 1
Karbi Anglong
03 Aug
Karbi Anglong
1 : 2
FC 1
08 May
NEROCA
2 : 2
Karbi Anglong
02 May
United SC
1 : 1
Karbi Anglong
Page 1 of 5

Minerva Punjab

(Away)
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
Minerva Punjab
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1
Minerva Punjab
27 Sept
Calcutta Customs
0 : 7
Minerva Punjab
21 May
Minerva Punjab
0 : 2
Mumbai City
16 May
Odisha FC
2 : 3
Minerva Punjab
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Namdhari 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 0 1 2 6:13 1
4 South United 3 0 1 2 3:10 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Diamond Harbour 3 2 0 1 11:7 6
3 Mohammedan 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Border Security Force 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamshedpur 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Army Red 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Nepal Army 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 1 Ladakh 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodoland FC 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Minerva Punjab 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Indo-Tibetan Border Police 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
4 Karbi Anglong 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North East United 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Lajong 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
3 ATM FA 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Rangdajied United 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indian Navy 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Real Kashmir 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 NEROCA 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 TRAU FC 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams