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Karbon Cherkasy vs Rebel Kyiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karbon Cherkasy host Rebel Kyiv in the Druha Liga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Karbon Cherkasy have averaged 1.36 scored and 1.27 conceded recently, against Rebel Kyiv's 1.36 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Karbon Cherkasy slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 3:5. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.50) point toward Karbon Cherkasy. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Karbon Cherkasy
35%
Draws
32%
Rebel Kyiv
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Karbon Cherkasy haven't matched Rebel Kyiv's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Karbon Cherkasy a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Karbon Cherkasy Clean Sheet 16%
Rebel Kyiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karbon Cherkasy Rebel Kyiv
Matches Played 11 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.36 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Druha Liga
Rebel Kyiv vs Karbon Cherkasy
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karbon Cherkasy 41 / 100
Rebel Kyiv 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karbon Cherkasy Rebel Kyiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Karbon Cherkasy's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Defensive concern: Rebel Kyiv conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Karbon Cherkasy stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karbon Cherkasy VS Rebel Kyiv
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Karbon Cherkasy

(Home)
04 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2
Karbon Cherkasy
25 Sept
Karbon Cherkasy
1 : 0
SC Poltava 2
18 Sept
Karbon Cherkasy
2 : 2
Oleksandriya 2
13 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 2
Karbon Cherkasy
09 Sept
Karbon Cherkasy
0 : 3
Epitsentr
Page 1 of 3

Rebel Kyiv

(Away)
03 Oct
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 2
Lozova
27 Sept
Trostyanets
2 : 2
Rebel Kyiv
12 Sept
Oleksandriya 2
1 : 1
Rebel Kyiv
06 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 3
Rebel Kyiv
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 8 6 2 0 20:7 20
2 Nyva Vinnytsya 8 4 3 1 14:8 15
3 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
4 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 8 4 1 3 15:14 13
5 FC Vilkhivtsi 8 3 2 3 11:13 11
6 Nyva Ternopil 2 8 3 0 5 8:15 9
7 Skala 1911 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 8 1 4 3 12:18 7
9 Rukh Lviv 8 1 0 7 13:16 3
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karbon Cherkasy 8 4 3 1 13:9 15
2 Lozova 8 4 1 3 9:9 13
3 Atlet Kiev 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
4 SC Poltava 2 8 3 2 3 5:6 11
5 Rebel Kyiv 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
6 Oleksandriya 2 8 2 4 2 8:7 10
7 Trostyanets 7 2 4 1 8:5 10
8 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
9 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)