Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kardemir Karabuk vs Gumushanespor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2021/2022 Dr. Necmettin Seyhoglu Stadium, Karabuk
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Aydogdu M.
19' Event
Ilkyaz A.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2021/2022 game between Kardemir Karabuk and Gumushanespor finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gumushanespor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Kardemir Karabuk
6%
Draws
90%
Gumushanespor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gumushanespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kardemir Karabuk haven't matched Gumushanespor's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gumushanespor a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gumushanespor here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Kardemir Karabuk Clean Sheet 26%
Gumushanespor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kardemir Karabuk Gumushanespor
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 6
Draws 1 11
Losses 28 15
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 3. Lig Group 3
Kardemir Karabuk vs Gumushanespor
0:2
Dec 5, 2021 3. Lig Group 3
Gumushanespor vs Kardemir Karabuk
4:0
Sep 25, 2019 Turkish Cup
Kardemir Karabuk vs Gumushanespor
1:2
Sep 26, 2012 Turkish Cup
Kardemir Karabuk vs Gumushanespor
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kardemir Karabuk Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Gumushanespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Aydogdu M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ilkyaz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kardemir Karabuk 10 / 100
Gumushanespor 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kardemir Karabuk Gumushanespor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Gumushanespor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Difficult form: Gumushanespor registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kardemir Karabuk scored in 27% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gumushanespor
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kardemir Karabuk

(Home)
07 May
Kardemir Karabuk
1 : 6
Tepecik
01 May
Ceyhanspor
1 : 3
Kardemir Karabuk
24 Apr
Kardemir Karabuk
0 : 2
Gumushanespor
16 Apr
Orduspor 1967
4 : 0
Kardemir Karabuk
10 Apr
Kardemir Karabuk
0 : 6
Edirnespor Genclik
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Gumushanespor

(Away)
27 Apr
Gumushanespor
2 : 4
Kepez Bld.
21 Apr
Kirikkale FK
3 : 1
Gumushanespor
14 Apr
Gumushanespor
1 : 1
Aliaga
03 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 3
Gumushanespor
24 Mar
Gumushanespor
2 : 3
Mardin 1969
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erokspor34237484:2676
2Fethiyespor34206864:3466
3Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu341715242:1866
4Orduspor 196734197866:3364
5Ofspor34179865:4360
6Guzide Gebzespor341415551:2857
7Kirikkale FK34169951:2957
8Karsiyaka341116755:3449
9Edirnespor Genclik341391250:3648
10Tepecik3411111249:4244
11Karakopru3410141046:3944
12Agri 1970341261639:4342
13Gumushanespor349141139:3641
14Cankaya FK341181537:4441
15Mardin 1969349101542:4237
16Modafenspor347111637:5032
17Kardemir Karabuk34113211:1264
18Ceyhanspor34043012:1374
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2021/2022 (Play Offs)