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Karditsa vs Iraklis FC

Greece Greece

Super League 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Super League 2 encounter between Karditsa and Iraklis FC promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Karditsa averages 1.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches. Iraklis FC shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Both back lines have been highly organized and defensive lately, suggesting a tight, low-scoring matchup where details will decide the outcome. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Karditsa, 4 wins for Iraklis FC, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 22.03.26 ended in a 3:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.88 for Karditsa and 1.13 for Iraklis FC, suggesting the primary value lies in the Iraklis FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Karditsa
21%
Draws
49%
Iraklis FC
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Iraklis FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Karditsa picked up more points recently compared to Iraklis FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Karditsa Clean Sheet 21%
Iraklis FC Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 47%
Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karditsa Iraklis FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 20
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.07 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13
Possession % N/A N/A
Shots per Match N/A N/A
Shots on Target N/A N/A
Corners per Match N/A N/A
Yellow/Red Cards N/A N/A

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

22.03.26 Super League 2
Iraklis FC vs Karditsa
3:1
28.02.26 Super League 2
Karditsa vs Iraklis FC
0:1
17.01.26 Super League 2
Iraklis FC vs Karditsa
1:0
02.11.25 Super League 2
Karditsa vs Iraklis FC
1:1
27.08.25 Club Friendly
Karditsa vs Iraklis FC
0:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Karditsa

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Iraklis FC

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karditsa Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A
0 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Iraklis FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kushta K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karditsa 31 / 100
Iraklis FC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karditsa Iraklis FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Iraklis FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Karditsa 33%
Iraklis FC 39%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Karditsa 29%
Iraklis FC 51%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Karditsa 30%
Iraklis FC 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Karditsa 32%
Iraklis FC 47%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Karditsa 27%
Iraklis FC 54%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Karditsa 35%
Iraklis FC 56%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Karditsa attacking → ← attacking Iraklis FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karditsa have found the net in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Iraklis FC have conceded at least one goal in 48% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.80 goals per match.

Karditsa remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Iraklis FC suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

History Log Unavailable

Historical prediction accuracy logs and success dashboards require a live connection to a completed tips outcome database. This section is currently flagged as: Needs a Real Data Source.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 68
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13
N/A Ball possession % N/A
N/A Shots per game N/A
N/A Shots on target N/A
N/A Corners per game N/A
N/A Cards per game N/A

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iraklis FC65109:138
2Niki Volos62315:229
3Karditsa60243:822
4Asteras Tripolis B61234:1021
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kalamata64117:238
2Panionios62137:529
3Marko62316:425
4Olympiacos Piraeus B61143:1218