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Karela vs Nations FC

Ghana Ghana

Premier League Naa Sheriga Sports Centre
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karela play Nations FC in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Karela averaged 0.93 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Nations FC averaged 1 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Karela won 1, Nations FC won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Karela and 1.00 for Nations FC. This points to a Nations FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Karela
22%
Draws
42%
Nations FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nations FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Karela picked up more points recently compared to Nations FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 16%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Karela Clean Sheet 23%
Nations FC Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 46%
Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karela Nations FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Karela vs Nations FC
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Premier League
Nations FC vs Karela
0:0
Apr 7, 2025 Premier League
Nations FC vs Karela
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Premier League
Karela vs Nations FC
0:1
May 4, 2024 Premier League
Karela vs Nations FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karela Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Nations FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarpong A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karela 37 / 100
Nations FC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karela Nations FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nations FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +30%
5.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Karela attacking → ← attacking Nations FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karela scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Nations FC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Karela went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nations FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 47
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

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7Berekum Chelsea341481235:3350
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9Karela3413101132:3349
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12Holy Stars341371430:3946
13Young Apostles341291337:3745
14Heart of Lions341291336:3345
15Swedru All Blacks341291334:3145
16Nations FC341281430:3144
17Hohoe United34791822:5030
18Eleven Wonders34342726:7313