Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Karlsson E.
13'
13'
Thorlaksson A.
19'
19'
Brandsson G.
AI Match Summary
Kari in this Icelandic Cup 2018 tie, finishing 9-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kari
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kari lately — more wins on the board than Ellidi.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Kari have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Kari, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42.8%
Kari Clean Sheet 68%
Ellidi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kari | Ellidi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 23 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.74 | 2.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.94 | 2.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.04 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 19, 2023 Fotbolti.net Cup
Ellidi vs Kari
1:4
Apr 20, 2018 Icelandic Cup
Kari vs Ellidi
9:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kari Compare
Top Goalscorer Thorlaksson A.
3 Goals Assists Leader Brandsson G.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02
Ellidi Compare
Top Goalscorer Hjaltalin N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kari 41 / 100
Ellidi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kari Ellidi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kari's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Ellidi has conceded goals in 96% of their last 23 outings.
Historical meetings average 7.50 goals per match.
Kari has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kari VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kari
(Home) 23 Aug
Kari
1 : 0 Fjolnir
19 Aug
Selfoss
2 : 2 Kari
15 Aug
Kari
4 : 1 Olafsvik
08 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 1 Kari
29 Jul
Kari
1 : 1 Kormakur/Hvot
Page 1 of 7
23 Aug
Kari
1 : 0 Fjolnir
15 Aug
Kari
4 : 1 Olafsvik
29 Jul
Kari
1 : 1 Kormakur/Hvot
12 Jul
Kari
2 : 2 KFA
27 Jun
Kari
1 : 1 Magni
Page 1 of 3
Ellidi
(Away) 28 Mar
Ellidi
0 : 2 Grindavik
21 Mar
Ellidi
9 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
03 Apr
Ellidi
1 : 3 Haukar
28 Mar
KFK Kopavogur
1 : 5 Ellidi
04 Apr
Ellidi
0 : 3 Olafsvik
Page 1 of 5
28 Mar
KFK Kopavogur
1 : 5 Ellidi
06 Jun
Haukar
3 : 1 Ellidi
20 Apr
Kari
9 : 1 Ellidi
13 Apr
Midas
1 : 4 Ellidi
14 May
Alftanes
3 : 0 Ellidi
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Njardvik 10
KB Breidholt 1
Stokkseyri -
Kordrengir -
Vaengirs 3
Hviti 2
TBD -
Throttur -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 6
Nokkvi 0
TBD -
Magni -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 0
Alftanes 9
Dalvik/Reynir 2
UMF Geisli 0
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Akranes -
TBD -
Snaefell 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 7
Grotta 9
Vatnaliljur 0
TBD -
Selfoss -
Vidir 6
KFS 2
SR Reykjavik 0
Throttur Vogar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri 18
Kongarnir 2
TBD -
Haukar -
IR Reykjavik 1
Aegir 0
Kormakur/Hvot 0
Augnablik 17
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 6
Kria 2
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Afturelding 6
KFR 1
Ymir 2
KV Reykjavik 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
Sindri 2
Einherji 5
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Stal-Ulfur 0
Berserkir 1
Reynir 5
Hottur 1
Fjardabyggd 0
TBD -
Huginn -
Ellidi 4
Midas 1
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Kari 13
Fram 6
Armann 0
Alafoss 1
GG Grindavik 5
Tindastoll -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
Hamar 1
Arborg 0
Ulfarnir 0
Lettir 1
KFG Gardabaer 5
Afrika Reykjavik 0
TBD -
Olafsvik -
1/32-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Njardvik 2
Kordrengir 0
Vaengirs 0
Throttur 2
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 0
Magni 5
Kopavogur 5
Alftanes 0
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Akranes 8
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Grotta 2
Selfoss 3
Vidir 2
Throttur Vogar 1
TBD -
Grindavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Vestri 1
Haukar 3
IR Reykjavik 1
Augnablik 0
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Breidablik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Afturelding 8
KV Reykjavik 2
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 0
Einherji 1
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 0
Reynir 9
Hottur 3
Huginn 0
Ellidi 1
Kari 9
Fram 10
GG Grindavik 0
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 7
Hamar 1
Lettir 0
KFG Gardabaer 0
Olafsvik 5
1/16-finals
Stjarnan 2
Fylkir 1
Njardvik 2
Throttur 4
Fjolnir 3
Magni 1
Kopavogur 2
Thor Akureyri 3
Akranes 4
Selfoss 1
Vidir 2
Grindavik 4
KA Akureyri 2
Haukar 1
IR Reykjavik 0
Hafnarfjordur 5
Breidablik 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Afturelding 1
KR Reykjavik 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Einherji 2
Keflavik 0
Valur 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Reynir 0
Hottur 2
Kari 5
Fram 2
Volsungur 1
Hamar 3
Olafsvik 5
1/8-finals
Stjarnan 5
Throttur 0
Fjolnir 1
Thor Akureyri 2
Akranes 2
Grindavik 1
KA Akureyri 0
Hafnarfjordur 1
Breidablik 1
KR Reykjavik 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Valur 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Kari 3
Fram 0
Olafsvik 1
Quarter-finals
Stjarnan 2
Thor Akureyri 1
Akranes 0
Hafnarfjordur 1
Breidablik 2
Valur 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Olafsvik 1
Semi-finals
Stjarnan 2
Hafnarfjordur 0
Breidablik 3
Olafsvik 2
Final
Stjarnan 1
Breidablik 0
