Sport Picks

Iceland

Division 2

KFA

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kari play KFA in the Division 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kari averaged 2.13 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. KFA averaged 2.35 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Kari won 2, KFA won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Kari and 2.13 for KFA. This points to a Kari double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Kari

15%

Draws

42%

KFA

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Kari picked up more points recently compared to KFA.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 2.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Kari Clean Sheet 10%

KFA Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kari	KFA
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	12	13
Draws	5	5
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	2.13	2.35
Goals Conceded	2.43	2
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division 2

KFA vs Kari

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

2:4

Aug 23, 2025 Division 2

KFA vs Kari

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Jul 16, 2025 Fotbolti.net Cup

KFA vs Kari

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

3:0

Jun 14, 2025 Division 2

Kari vs KFA

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kari 41 / 100

KFA 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kari KFA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kari or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.32

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kari attacking → ← attacking KFA

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kari scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

KFA let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Kari went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

KFA lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 44

2.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Haukar	11	7	2	2	28:14	23
2	Dalvik/Reynir	11	6	2	3	21:15	20
3	Selfoss	11	5	4	2	24:22	19
4	Kari	11	4	5	2	29:20	17
5	Kormakur/Hvot	11	4	4	3	26:14	16
6	Fjolnir	11	4	3	4	26:22	15
7	Olafsvik	11	4	2	5	16:23	14
8	KFA	11	4	1	6	27:22	13
9	Hviti	11	2	6	3	15:19	12
10	KFG Gardabaer	11	4	0	7	16:32	12
11	Magni	11	3	2	6	16:33	11
12	Throttur Vogar	11	3	1	7	15:23	10