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Kari vs Selfoss

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Brynjolfsson F.
81' Event
Stefansson G.
83' Event
Heimisson A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Kari
20%
Draws
42%
Selfoss
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Selfoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Selfoss have won more games recently than Kari.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Selfoss have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Kari Clean Sheet 10%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kari Selfoss
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.43 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Division 2
Kari vs Selfoss
2:2
Apr 12, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Selfoss vs Kari
3:1
Aug 23, 2020 Division 2
Selfoss vs Kari
1:0
Jun 17, 2020 Division 2
Kari vs Selfoss
3:4
Sep 21, 2019 Division 2
Kari vs Selfoss
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kari Compare

Top Goalscorer Heimisson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bergthorsson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Selfoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Brynjolfsson F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stefansson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kari 30 / 100
Selfoss 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kari Selfoss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kari's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Selfoss has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Kari has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kari VS Selfoss
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kari

(Home)
15 Aug
Kari
4 : 1
Olafsvik
08 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 1
Kari
29 Jul
Kari
1 : 1
Kormakur/Hvot
24 Jul
Hviti
1 : 3
Kari
17 Jul
KFG Gardabaer
1 : 5
Kari
Page 1 of 6

Selfoss

(Away)
15 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 2
Fjolnir
10 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Selfoss
04 Aug
Selfoss
4 : 0
Ymir
29 Jul
Selfoss
2 : 1
Dalvik/Reynir
25 Jul
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 5
Selfoss
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 17 12 2 3 43:22 38
2 Selfoss 17 9 5 3 40:31 32
3 Kari 17 7 8 2 45:27 29
4 Fjolnir 17 7 4 6 42:38 25
5 Olafsvik 17 7 4 6 24:29 25
6 Kormakur/Hvot 17 6 6 5 34:24 24
7 Dalvik/Reynir 17 6 3 8 25:28 21
8 Magni 17 6 3 8 30:42 21
9 KFA 17 6 2 9 38:35 20
10 Throttur Vogar 17 6 1 10 28:33 19
11 Hviti 17 3 7 7 21:32 16
12 KFG Gardabaer 17 4 1 12 24:53 13
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