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Kariana Erden vs Bistritsa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2020/2021
Sat, May 8, 2021
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kariana Erden host Bistritsa in the Vtora liga 2020/2021. This one's hard to separate. Bistritsa have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Kariana Erden have conceded 2.12 and scored 0.77. Head-to-head, Kariana Erden have won 0 to Bistritsa's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 8, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.73 vs 1.18, favoring Bistritsa. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kariana Erden
15%
Draws
85%
Bistritsa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bistritsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bistritsa lately — more wins on the board than Kariana Erden.
  • Kariana Erden are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Vtora liga 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Kariana Erden Clean Sheet 20%
Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kariana Erden Bistritsa
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 3 1
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.77 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.12 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2021 Vtora liga
Kariana Erden vs Bistritsa
0:0
Nov 21, 2020 Vtora liga
Bistritsa vs Kariana Erden
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kariana Erden 76 / 100
Bistritsa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kariana Erden Bistritsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kariana Erden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bistritsa conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Bistritsa lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kariana Erden scored in 35% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bistritsa
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kariana Erden

(Home)
22 May
Hebar
3 : 0
Kariana Erden
12 May
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Kariana Erden
03 May
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3 : 0
Kariana Erden
25 Apr
Kariana Erden
0 : 3
Septemvri Sofia
19 Apr
Kariana Erden
0 : 3
FC Lovech
Page 1 of 6

Bistritsa

(Away)
30 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 0
Bistritsa
23 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia III
16 May
Levski Sofia II
3 : 0
Bistritsa
09 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
02 May
Slivnishki Geroy
3 : 0
Bistritsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pirin Blagoevgrad 30 20 5 5 66:26 65
2 Lok. Sofia 30 19 5 6 65:30 62
3 Septemvri Sofia 30 17 5 8 54:29 56
4 Ludogorets II 30 14 8 8 56:38 50
5 Svoge 30 14 7 9 43:36 49
6 Hebar 30 13 9 8 50:36 48
7 FC Lovech 30 9 12 9 36:31 39
8 Sozopol 30 10 9 11 35:40 39
9 Minyor Pernik 30 10 9 11 30:37 39
10 Strumska Slava 30 8 10 12 31:37 34
11 Yantra Gabrovo 30 10 4 16 30:47 34
12 Septemvri Simitli 30 9 6 15 34:42 33
13 Dobrudzha 30 7 9 14 28:46 30
14 Neftochimic Burgas 30 7 6 17 27:61 27
15 Gorna 30 5 10 15 24:43 25
16 Kariana Erden 30 9 4 17 29:59 31
Promotion - Parva liga 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - Parva liga 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - Parva liga 2020/2021 (Relegation)