Sport Picks
Kariana Erden vs Hebar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Vtora liga 2020/2021 
Match Events
5'
5'
Petkov Z.
9'
9'
Papazov T.
10'
10'
Dichev N.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
The Vtora liga 2020/2021 game between Kariana Erden and Hebar finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hebar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hebar come out ahead of Kariana Erden on wins alone.
- Hebar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Vtora liga 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kariana Erden Clean Sheet 20%
Hebar Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kariana Erden | Hebar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.12 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 22, 2021 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Kariana Erden
3:0
Dec 11, 2020 Vtora liga
Kariana Erden vs Hebar
1:1
Apr 25, 2020 Vtora liga
Kariana Erden vs Hebar
0:0
Oct 6, 2019 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Kariana Erden
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kariana Erden Compare
Top Goalscorer Tsekov Dimitrov V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Hebar Compare
Top Goalscorer Petkov Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kariana Erden 10 / 100
Hebar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kariana Erden Hebar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hebar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Hebar conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Kariana Erden's goal record stands at 35% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Away concern: Hebar has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Hebar
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kariana Erden
(Home) 22 May
Hebar
3 : 0 Kariana Erden
12 May
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Kariana Erden
03 May
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3 : 0 Kariana Erden
25 Apr
Kariana Erden
0 : 3 Septemvri Sofia
19 Apr
Kariana Erden
0 : 3 FC Lovech
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Kariana Erden
0 : 3 Septemvri Sofia
19 Apr
Kariana Erden
0 : 3 FC Lovech
11 Apr
Kariana Erden
0 : 3 Minyor Pernik
20 Mar
Kariana Erden
0 : 3 Neftochimic Burgas
10 Mar
Kariana Erden
0 : 3 Svoge
Page 1 of 3
Hebar
(Away) 04 Oct
Yambol 1915
0 : 5 Hebar
27 Sept
Hebar
1 : 2 Dobrudzha
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5 Hebar
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1 Etar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2 Hebar
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Yambol 1915
0 : 5 Hebar
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5 Hebar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2 Hebar
29 Aug
Ludogorets II
1 : 1 Hebar
18 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
2 : 3 Hebar
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 66:26 | 65 |
| 2 | Lok. Sofia | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 65:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Septemvri Sofia | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 54:29 | 56 |
| 4 | Ludogorets II | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 56:38 | 50 |
| 5 | Svoge | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:36 | 49 |
| 6 | Hebar | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 50:36 | 48 |
| 7 | FC Lovech | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 36:31 | 39 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 35:40 | 39 |
| 9 | Minyor Pernik | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | 39 |
| 10 | Strumska Slava | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 31:37 | 34 |
| 11 | Yantra Gabrovo | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 30:47 | 34 |
| 12 | Septemvri Simitli | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 13 | Dobrudzha | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 28:46 | 30 |
| 14 | Neftochimic Burgas | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 27:61 | 27 |
| 15 | Gorna | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 24:43 | 25 |
| 16 | Kariana Erden | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 29:59 | 31 |
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