Sport Picks
Kariana Erden vs Septemvri Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Vtora liga 2020/2021 
AI Match Summary
Kariana Erden host Septemvri Sofia in the Vtora liga 2020/2021. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Kariana Erden at 0.77 goals for, 2.12 against; Septemvri Sofia at 1.07 for, 1.27 against. Past meetings favor Septemvri Sofia slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2021, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 1.36) point toward Septemvri Sofia. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Kariana Erden haven't matched Septemvri Sofia's recent run of results.
- Septemvri Sofia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kariana Erden | Septemvri Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.12 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Septemvri Sofia has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Septemvri Sofia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Kariana Erden scored in 35% of their last 26 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Kariana Erden
(Home)Septemvri Sofia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 66:26 | 65 |
| 2 | Lok. Sofia | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 65:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Septemvri Sofia | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 54:29 | 56 |
| 4 | Ludogorets II | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 56:38 | 50 |
| 5 | Svoge | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:36 | 49 |
| 6 | Hebar | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 50:36 | 48 |
| 7 | FC Lovech | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 36:31 | 39 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 35:40 | 39 |
| 9 | Minyor Pernik | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | 39 |
| 10 | Strumska Slava | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 31:37 | 34 |
| 11 | Yantra Gabrovo | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 30:47 | 34 |
| 12 | Septemvri Simitli | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 13 | Dobrudzha | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 28:46 | 30 |
| 14 | Neftochimic Burgas | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 27:61 | 27 |
| 15 | Gorna | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 24:43 | 25 |
| 16 | Kariana Erden | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 29:59 | 31 |
