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Kariana Erden vs Sozopol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2020/2021
Sat, Feb 27, 2021
0 - 3
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kariana Erden host Sozopol in the Vtora liga 2020/2021. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Sozopol have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Kariana Erden have conceded 2.12 and scored 0.77. Past meetings favor Sozopol slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2021, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.49) point toward Sozopol. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kariana Erden
15%
Draws
85%
Sozopol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sozopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sozopol come out ahead of Kariana Erden on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sozopol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Kariana Erden Clean Sheet 16%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kariana Erden Sozopol
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.12 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2021 Vtora liga
Kariana Erden vs Sozopol
0:3
Aug 19, 2020 Vtora liga
Sozopol vs Kariana Erden
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kariana Erden 10 / 100
Sozopol 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kariana Erden Sozopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sozopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Sozopol conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Kariana Erden's goal record stands at 35% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Sozopol's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sozopol
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kariana Erden

(Home)
22 May
Hebar
3 : 0
Kariana Erden
12 May
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Kariana Erden
03 May
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3 : 0
Kariana Erden
25 Apr
Kariana Erden
0 : 3
Septemvri Sofia
19 Apr
Kariana Erden
0 : 3
FC Lovech
Page 1 of 6

Sozopol

(Away)
03 Oct
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Sozopol
26 Sept
Sozopol
3 : 2
Sekirovo Rakovski
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0
Sozopol
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0
Sozopol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pirin Blagoevgrad 30 20 5 5 66:26 65
2 Lok. Sofia 30 19 5 6 65:30 62
3 Septemvri Sofia 30 17 5 8 54:29 56
4 Ludogorets II 30 14 8 8 56:38 50
5 Svoge 30 14 7 9 43:36 49
6 Hebar 30 13 9 8 50:36 48
7 FC Lovech 30 9 12 9 36:31 39
8 Sozopol 30 10 9 11 35:40 39
9 Minyor Pernik 30 10 9 11 30:37 39
10 Strumska Slava 30 8 10 12 31:37 34
11 Yantra Gabrovo 30 10 4 16 30:47 34
12 Septemvri Simitli 30 9 6 15 34:42 33
13 Dobrudzha 30 7 9 14 28:46 30
14 Neftochimic Burgas 30 7 6 17 27:61 27
15 Gorna 30 5 10 15 24:43 25
16 Kariana Erden 30 9 4 17 29:59 31
Promotion - Parva liga 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - Parva liga 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - Parva liga 2020/2021 (Relegation)