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Kariobangi Sharks vs Muranga

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kariobangi Sharks play Muranga in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kariobangi Sharks averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1 conceded. Muranga averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Kariobangi Sharks won 2, Muranga won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Kariobangi Sharks and 0.69 for Muranga. This points to a Muranga double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kariobangi Sharks
35%
Draws
35%
Muranga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Muranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Kariobangi Sharks picked up more points recently compared to Muranga.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Kariobangi Sharks Clean Sheet 28%
Muranga Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kariobangi Sharks Muranga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.3
Goals Conceded 1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks vs Muranga
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Muranga vs Kariobangi Sharks
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Muranga vs Kariobangi Sharks
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks vs Muranga
3:0
May 15, 2024 Premier League
Muranga vs Kariobangi Sharks
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kariobangi Sharks Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbulere S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Muranga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kariobangi Sharks 33 / 100
Muranga 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kariobangi Sharks Muranga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Muranga or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kariobangi Sharks attacking → ← attacking Muranga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kariobangi Sharks scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Muranga let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Kariobangi Sharks went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Muranga lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 44
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119