Sport Picks

Kenya

Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks

2 - 0

Nairobi United

Our Tip

Match Events

34'

Aroko H.

39'

Mbulere S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Kariobangi Sharks and Nairobi United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kariobangi Sharks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Kariobangi Sharks

Draws

Nairobi United

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kariobangi Sharks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Nairobi United carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Kariobangi Sharks's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Kariobangi Sharks Clean Sheet 19%

Nairobi United Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kariobangi Sharks	Nairobi United
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	7	11
Draws	12	10
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	0.75	1.88
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Nov 8, 2025 Premier League

Nairobi United vs Kariobangi Sharks

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kariobangi Sharks Compare

Top Goalscorer Aroko H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mbulere S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Nairobi United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kariobangi Sharks 85 / 100

Nairobi United 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kariobangi Sharks Nairobi United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kariobangi Sharks stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Kariobangi Sharks's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nairobi United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kariobangi Sharks VS Nairobi United

0.75 Goals Scored 1.88

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88

38% Over 1.5 75%

13% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mahia	34	20	9	5	50:22	69
2	Leopards	34	19	7	8	44:28	64
3	Police FC	34	13	16	5	31:21	55
4	Nairobi United	34	14	11	9	44:34	53
5	Shabana	34	14	10	10	35:34	52
6	Kakamega Homeboyz	34	12	13	9	47:37	49
7	KCB	34	13	9	12	36:37	48
8	Muranga	34	13	8	13	42:41	47
9	Tusker	34	13	6	15	27:32	45
10	APS Bomet	34	11	11	12	37:35	44
11	Mara Sugar	34	10	14	10	30:30	44
12	Bandari	34	9	17	8	26:26	44
13	Ulinzi Stars	34	11	8	15	34:37	41
14	Mathare United	34	11	8	15	31:35	41
15	Posta Rangers	34	9	13	12	31:40	40
16	Kariobangi Sharks	34	8	14	12	30:33	38
17	Bidco United	34	5	12	17	19:40	27
18	Sofapaka	34	3	10	21	19:51	19