Sport Picks

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Karitsa vs Ethnikos Giannitsa

Greece Greece

Greek Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karitsa in this Greek Cup 2020/2021 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Karitsa
15%
Draws
21%
Ethnikos Giannitsa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ethnikos Giannitsa haven't matched Karitsa's recent run of results.
  • Karitsa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Karitsa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Karitsa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Karitsa Clean Sheet 68%
Ethnikos Giannitsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karitsa Ethnikos Giannitsa
Matches Played 15 15
Wins 12 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2020 Greek Cup
Karitsa vs Ethnikos Giannitsa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karitsa 59 / 100
Ethnikos Giannitsa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karitsa Ethnikos Giannitsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karitsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karitsa scored in 93% of their last 15 games.

Ethnikos Giannitsa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 15 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Karitsa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karitsa VS Ethnikos Giannitsa
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Karitsa

(Home)
06 Jun
Aetos Makrychoriou
1 : 2
Karitsa
30 May
Karitsa
1 : 3
Karditsa
26 May
Elassona
0 : 2
Karitsa
23 May
Karitsa
1 : 0
Fikis
16 May
AE Iraklis Larissa
1 : 2
Karitsa
Page 1 of 3

Ethnikos Giannitsa

(Away)
05 Jun
A. Asteras
3 : 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa
30 May
Ethnikos Giannitsa
1 : 1
Niki Agkathia
26 May
PAOK Alexandreia
3 : 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa
16 May
Nea Kallikrateia
4 : 3
Ethnikos Giannitsa
12 May
Ethnikos Giannitsa
1 : 0
Aetos Varvaras
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Giannina 5
Atromitos 4
Panathinaikos -
TBD -
Panetolikos 0
Olympiacos Piraeus 6
Aris 4
Asteras Tripolis 0
AEK 3
Apollon Smyrnis 2
Volos 3
OFI Crete 1
PAOK 7
AEL Larissa 1
TBD -
Lamia -
Quarter-finals
Giannina 4
Panathinaikos 2
Olympiacos Piraeus 3
Aris 2
AEK 4
Volos 3
PAOK 6
Lamia 3
Semi-finals
Giannina 2
Olympiacos Piraeus 4
AEK 1
PAOK 3
Final
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
PAOK 2