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Karitsa vs Sellana

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021
Sun, Jan 24, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karitsa host Sellana in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Sellana have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Karitsa have conceded 0.47 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Karitsa slightly — 2-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 0.75, favoring Karitsa. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Karitsa
15%
Draws
21%
Sellana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Karitsa have won more games recently than Sellana.
  • Win probability leans Karitsa's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
Karitsa Clean Sheet 20%
Sellana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karitsa Sellana
Matches Played 15 14
Wins 12 5
Draws 2 1
Losses 1 8
Goals Scored 2 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Karitsa vs Sellana
0:0
Oct 21, 2020 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Sellana vs Karitsa
0:1
Feb 16, 2020 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Karitsa vs Sellana
2:0
Nov 3, 2019 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Sellana vs Karitsa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karitsa 36 / 100
Sellana 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karitsa Sellana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karitsa found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (15 games).

Sellana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 14 matches.

Solid form: Karitsa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Sellana registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karitsa VS Sellana
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karitsa

(Home)
06 Jun
Aetos Makrychoriou
1 : 2
Karitsa
30 May
Karitsa
1 : 3
Karditsa
26 May
Elassona
0 : 2
Karitsa
23 May
Karitsa
1 : 0
Fikis
16 May
AE Iraklis Larissa
1 : 2
Karitsa
Page 1 of 3

Sellana

(Away)
06 Jun
Kozani FC
1 : 0
Sellana
30 May
Sellana
5 : 0
Dias Diou FC
23 May
Sellana
0 : 1
Ethnikos Neou
16 May
Atromitos Palamas
1 : 0
Sellana
12 May
Oikonomos
2 : 2
Sellana
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karditsa 14 12 2 0 40:5 38
2 Karitsa 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
3 Ethnikos Neou 14 8 1 5 16:17 25
4 Aetos Makrychoriou 14 7 3 4 24:11 24
5 Kozani FC 14 6 5 3 17:15 23
6 Atromitos Palamas 14 6 4 4 17:14 22
7 AE Iraklis Larissa 14 6 2 6 23:15 20
8 Fikis 14 6 2 6 22:17 20
9 Elassona 14 5 4 5 16:16 19
10 Sellana 14 5 1 8 15:15 16
11 Dias Diou FC 14 3 4 7 11:23 13
12 Ermis Amyntaio 14 3 3 8 12:36 12
13 Meteora 14 2 4 8 11:24 10
14 Oikonomos 14 2 3 9 14:29 9
15 Makedonikos Foufas 14 3 0 11 12:34 9
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)