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Stadium Background

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Gornik Zabrze II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Kasprzyk D.
66' Event
Kasprzyk D.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Karkonosze Jelenia Gora and Gornik Zabrze II finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karkonosze Jelenia Gora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
39%
Draws
31%
Gornik Zabrze II
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gornik Zabrze II's 2.25 goals per match outpaces what Karkonosze Jelenia Gora have produced (2.13).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Clean Sheet 10%
Gornik Zabrze II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Gornik Zabrze II
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Gornik Zabrze II
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2:2
Aug 3, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Gornik Zabrze II
5:1
May 18, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasprzyk D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Gornik Zabrze II Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 29 / 100
Gornik Zabrze II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Gornik Zabrze II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Gornik Zabrze II let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora VS Gornik Zabrze II
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057