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Karlbergs vs FC Jarfalla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Stadshagens IP, Vasastaden
Karlbergs Logo

Karlbergs

1 - 3
FT
FC Jarfalla Logo

FC Jarfalla

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Tinnborg H.
17'
Fernandez H.
20'
Medhin T N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Karlbergs and FC Jarfalla finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Jarfalla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Karlbergs
20%
Draws
29%
FC Jarfalla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karlbergs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Karlbergs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 16%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlbergs FC Jarfalla
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.38 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Jarfalla vs Karlbergs
5:0
May 16, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs FC Jarfalla
1:3
Sep 17, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs Karlbergs
1:1
May 18, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Karlbergs vs FC Jarfalla
0:1
Oct 17, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs Karlbergs
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlbergs Compare

Top Goalscorer Nieminen Eriksson F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FC Jarfalla Compare

Top Goalscorer Tinnborg H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khalil A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlbergs 31 / 100
FC Jarfalla 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlbergs FC Jarfalla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Jarfalla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Jarfalla conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Karlbergs's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Karlbergs has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karlbergs VS FC Jarfalla
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlbergs

(Home)
02 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 2
Sollentuna
27 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 1
Karlbergs
20 Sept
Karlbergs
0 : 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

FC Jarfalla

(Away)
03 Oct
IFK Stocksund
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
26 Sept
FC Jarfalla
2 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 FC Arlanda 25 14 6 5 46:28 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
10 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 25 7 6 12 36:52 27
13 Sollentuna 25 5 9 11 24:36 24
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 25 3 6 16 45:61 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)