Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Stadshagens IP

Karlbergs

1 - 3

FC Jarfalla

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Tinnborg H.

17'

Fernandez H.

20'

Medhin T N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Karlbergs and FC Jarfalla finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Jarfalla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Karlbergs

Draws

FC Jarfalla

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karlbergs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FC Jarfalla carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Karlbergs taking it.
Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%

Karlbergs Clean Sheet 16%

FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Karlbergs	FC Jarfalla
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	11	13
Draws	6	5
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	0.88	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.5	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Division 1 - Norra

Karlbergs vs FC Jarfalla

Possession: 60% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Sep 17, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand

FC Jarfalla vs Karlbergs

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

May 18, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Karlbergs vs FC Jarfalla

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Oct 17, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Svealand

FC Jarfalla vs Karlbergs

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Aug 14, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Karlbergs vs FC Jarfalla

Possession: 40% - 57% Cards: 4 - 3

6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlbergs Compare

Top Goalscorer Nieminen Eriksson F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Jarfalla Compare

Top Goalscorer Tinnborg H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Khalil A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlbergs 84 / 100

FC Jarfalla 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Karlbergs FC Jarfalla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlbergs found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

FC Jarfalla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Karlbergs has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karlbergs VS FC Jarfalla

0.88 Goals Scored 1.5

1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38

75% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	14	10	2	2	38:11	32
2	Karlstad	14	9	3	2	22:9	30
3	FC Arlanda	14	8	5	1	23:10	29
4	FC Stockholm Internazionale	14	8	3	3	28:14	27
5	Enkopings SK	14	8	1	5	24:23	25
6	FBK Karlstad	14	7	3	4	23:20	24
7	AFC Eskilstuna	14	5	4	5	23:24	19
8	Karlbergs	14	5	3	6	23:23	18
9	Umea FC	14	4	4	6	20:24	16
10	FC Jarfalla	14	4	3	7	21:27	15
11	Vasalund	14	4	3	7	20:30	15
12	Assyriska FF	14	3	5	6	22:29	14
13	Gefle	14	4	2	8	17:29	14
14	Sollentuna	14	2	7	5	12:19	13
15	Pitea	14	2	3	9	16:32	9
16	IFK Stocksund	14	1	5	8	28:36	8