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Karlbergs vs Gefle

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlbergs in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karlbergs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Karlbergs
6%
Draws
4%
Gefle
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karlbergs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Karlbergs average 0.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Gefle's 0.38.
  • Karlbergs are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 20%
Gefle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlbergs Gefle
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Gefle
3:2
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Karlbergs vs Gefle
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Karlbergs
1:1
May 17, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Gefle
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlbergs 85 / 100
Gefle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlbergs Gefle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Karlbergs scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Gefle let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Karlbergs stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlbergs VS Gefle
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%