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Stadium Background

Karlbergs vs Gefle

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlbergs in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karlbergs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Karlbergs
20%
Draws
40%
Gefle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Karlbergs have won more games recently than Gefle.
  • Gefle are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 19%
Gefle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlbergs Gefle
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.64 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Gefle
3:2
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Karlbergs vs Gefle
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Karlbergs
1:1
May 17, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Gefle
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlbergs 28 / 100
Gefle 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlbergs Gefle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gefle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gefle has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Karlbergs scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Karlbergs stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlbergs VS Gefle
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlbergs

(Home)
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
06 Sept
Pitea
3 : 0
Karlbergs
31 Aug
Hammarby TFF
0 : 0
Karlbergs
23 Aug
Karlbergs
0 : 3
AFC Eskilstuna
18 Aug
Karlbergs
2 : 0
Brage
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Gefle

(Away)
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
05 Sept
Sollentuna
1 : 0
Gefle
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2
Karlstad
23 Aug
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Gefle
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