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Karlbergs vs Sollentuna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Stadshagens IP, Vasastaden
Karlbergs Logo

Karlbergs

3 - 2
FT
Sollentuna Logo

Sollentuna

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Grauberg K.
26' Event
Jemal A.
40' Event
Grauberg K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Karlbergs in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karlbergs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Karlbergs
20%
Draws
10%
Sollentuna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karlbergs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karlbergs lately — more wins on the board than Sollentuna.
  • Karlbergs are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 16%
Sollentuna Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlbergs Sollentuna
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Sollentuna
3:2
Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Sollentuna vs Karlbergs
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Sollentuna vs Karlbergs
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Sollentuna vs Karlbergs
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Sollentuna vs Karlbergs
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlbergs Compare

Top Goalscorer Jemal A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Negash N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sollentuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Grauberg K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlbergs 36 / 100
Sollentuna 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlbergs Sollentuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Karlbergs scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sollentuna conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Karlbergs went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlbergs VS Sollentuna
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlbergs

(Home)
02 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 2
Sollentuna
27 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 1
Karlbergs
20 Sept
Karlbergs
0 : 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

Sollentuna

(Away)
02 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 2
Sollentuna
26 Sept
Sollentuna
1 : 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale
19 Sept
FBK Karlstad
0 : 0
Sollentuna
16 Sept
Sollentuna
2 : 3
Enkopings SK
12 Sept
Hammarby TFF
1 : 0
Sollentuna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 FC Arlanda 25 14 6 5 46:28 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
10 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 25 7 6 12 36:52 27
13 Sollentuna 25 5 9 11 24:36 24
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 25 3 6 16 45:61 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)