Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlbergs vs Vasalund

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Stadshagens IP, Vasastaden
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlbergs host Vasalund in the Division 1 - Norra. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Karlbergs at 1.29 goals for, 1.46 against; Vasalund at 1.45 for, 1.9 against. Past meetings favor Karlbergs slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 18, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.56, favoring Karlbergs. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Karlbergs
20%
Draws
16%
Vasalund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karlbergs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karlbergs lately — more wins on the board than Vasalund.
  • 16% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 15%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlbergs Vasalund
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Karlbergs
0:4
Feb 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Vasalund vs Karlbergs
3:2
Oct 11, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Vasalund
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Karlbergs
2:0
Oct 14, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Vasalund
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlbergs 35 / 100
Vasalund 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlbergs Vasalund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasalund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlbergs scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Vasalund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Vasalund has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karlbergs VS Vasalund
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlbergs

(Home)
20 Sept
Karlbergs
0 : 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
06 Sept
Pitea
3 : 0
Karlbergs
31 Aug
Hammarby TFF
0 : 0
Karlbergs
Page 1 of 6

Vasalund

(Away)
21 Sept
Vasalund
1 : 5
Assyriska FF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0
Hammarby TFF
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
Vasalund
06 Sept
Vasalund
2 : 3
Enkopings SK
30 Aug
Umea FC
3 : 2
Vasalund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 24 17 3 4 57:20 54
2 AFC Eskilstuna 24 14 4 6 45:32 46
3 Hammarby TFF 24 13 6 5 50:23 45
4 FC Arlanda 23 12 6 5 40:27 42
5 Karlstad 23 11 6 6 35:23 39
6 FBK Karlstad 23 11 6 6 36:32 39
7 Enkopings SK 23 12 3 8 37:38 39
8 Assyriska FF 23 9 5 9 42:40 32
9 Gefle 23 9 3 11 29:41 30
10 Umea FC 23 8 5 10 31:37 29
11 Karlbergs 23 8 4 11 29:38 28
12 Sollentuna 24 5 9 10 22:33 24
13 Vasalund 23 6 6 11 34:48 24
14 Pitea 23 4 6 13 27:44 18
15 FC Jarfalla 24 5 3 16 32:54 18
16 IFK Stocksund 24 3 5 16 44:60 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)