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Karlovac vs Bijelo Brdo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL Stadion Branko Cavlovic-Cavlek, Karlovac
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlovac host Bijelo Brdo in the Prva NL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Bijelo Brdo have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Karlovac have conceded 1.46 and scored 1.24. Past meetings favor Karlovac slightly — 3-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.31) point toward Karlovac. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Karlovac
20%
Draws
47%
Bijelo Brdo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bijelo Brdo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karlovac come out ahead of Bijelo Brdo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Karlovac's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Karlovac have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 18%
Bijelo Brdo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlovac Bijelo Brdo
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.24 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Prva NL
Karlovac vs Bijelo Brdo
1:0
Feb 13, 2026 Prva NL
Karlovac vs Bijelo Brdo
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Prva NL
Bijelo Brdo vs Karlovac
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlovac 41 / 100
Bijelo Brdo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlovac Bijelo Brdo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlovac scored in 62% of their last 37 games.

Defensive concern: Bijelo Brdo conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Karlovac remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Karlovac VS Bijelo Brdo
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlovac

(Home)
27 Sept
Segesta
1 : 1
Karlovac
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Karlovac
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
Page 1 of 8

Bijelo Brdo

(Away)
03 Oct
Osijek
1 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
26 Sept
Dubrava Zagreb
0 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
19 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 2
Hrvace
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
11 Sept
Opatija
2 : 3
Bijelo Brdo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
2 Croatia Zmijavci 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
3 Cibalia 7 3 4 0 7:4 13
4 Bijelo Brdo 7 4 1 2 8:6 13
5 Segesta 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
6 Mladost Zdralovi 7 3 2 2 6:6 11
7 Sesvete 7 3 0 4 9:8 9
8 Dinamo Zagreb 2 7 3 0 4 11:11 9
9 Dugopolje 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
10 Dubrava Zagreb 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
11 Karlovac 7 2 2 3 8:10 8
12 Orijent 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Vukovar 1991 7 2 2 3 11:14 8
14 Opatija 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
15 Hrvace 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
16 Kustosija 7 1 3 3 3:5 6
Promotion - HNL 2027/2028 (Main)