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Karlovac vs Dubrava Zagreb Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL Stadion Branko Cavlovic-Cavlek, Karlovac
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Dzolan J.
45'
Kristo L.
55'
Sub
Olabige B. In: Karadakic M.
Out: Olabige B.

AI Match Summary

The Prva NL game between Karlovac and Dubrava Zagreb finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dubrava Zagreb.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Karlovac
30%
Draws
37%
Dubrava Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dubrava Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karlovac come out ahead of Dubrava Zagreb on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Prva NL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 20%
Dubrava Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlovac Dubrava Zagreb
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.49 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Prva NL
Karlovac vs Dubrava Zagreb
0:1
Apr 2, 2026 Prva NL
Karlovac vs Dubrava Zagreb
5:0
Oct 31, 2025 Prva NL
Karlovac vs Dubrava Zagreb
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 Prva NL
Dubrava Zagreb vs Karlovac
2:0
Jul 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Karlovac vs Dubrava Zagreb
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlovac Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Dubrava Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzolan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlovac 31 / 100
Dubrava Zagreb 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlovac Dubrava Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dubrava Zagreb conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Karlovac stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Karlovac scored in 57% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karlovac VS Dubrava Zagreb
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlovac

(Home)
27 Sept
Segesta
1 : 1
Karlovac
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Karlovac
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
Page 1 of 7

Dubrava Zagreb

(Away)
26 Sept
Dubrava Zagreb
0 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
12 Sept
Hrvace
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
06 Sept
Dubrava Zagreb
2 : 1
Opatija
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
2 Croatia Zmijavci 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
3 Cibalia 7 3 4 0 7:4 13
4 Bijelo Brdo 7 4 1 2 8:6 13
5 Segesta 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
6 Mladost Zdralovi 7 3 2 2 6:6 11
7 Sesvete 7 3 0 4 9:8 9
8 Dinamo Zagreb 2 7 3 0 4 11:11 9
9 Dugopolje 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
10 Dubrava Zagreb 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
11 Karlovac 7 2 2 3 8:10 8
12 Orijent 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Vukovar 1991 7 2 2 3 11:14 8
14 Opatija 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
15 Hrvace 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
16 Kustosija 7 1 3 3 3:5 6
Promotion - HNL 2027/2028 (Main)