Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlovy Vary vs Louny

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group B 2025/2026 Stadion Drahovice, Karlovy Vary
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group B 2025/2026 game between Karlovy Vary and Louny finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlovy Vary.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Karlovy Vary
15%
Draws
53%
Louny
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Louny

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlovy Vary carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Louny's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Karlovy Vary Clean Sheet 10%
Louny Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlovy Vary Louny
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 2.09 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 4. liga - Group B
Karlovy Vary vs Louny
3:2
Oct 12, 2025 4. liga - Group B
Louny vs Karlovy Vary
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlovy Vary 26 / 100
Louny 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlovy Vary Louny

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louny Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Louny let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Karlovy Vary scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Recent resilience: Karlovy Vary stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlovy Vary VS Louny
2.25 Goals Scored 2.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlovy Vary

(Home)
03 Oct
Karlovy Vary
2 : 3
Meteor Prague
25 Sept
Chomutov
1 : 0
Karlovy Vary
18 Sept
Karlovy Vary
2 : 0
Sokolov
12 Sept
Psary
1 : 2
Karlovy Vary
05 Sept
Karlovy Vary
3 : 4
Vysehrad
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Louny

(Away)
03 Oct
Horni Jiretin
1 : 1
Louny
26 Sept
Louny
3 : 2
Modlany
19 Sept
Nestemice
0 : 2
Louny
13 Sept
Louny
4 : 5
Junior Decin
06 Sept
Louny
3 : 0
Probostov
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