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Karlskrona vs IFK Berga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ingemarsson T. T. O.
11' Event
Lundqvist H.
49' Event
Lundqvist H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland game between Karlskrona and IFK Berga finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlskrona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Karlskrona
15%
Draws
32%
IFK Berga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlskrona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Karlskrona a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Karlskrona here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 16%
IFK Berga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlskrona IFK Berga
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.2 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs IFK Berga
4:1
Apr 10, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Berga vs Karlskrona
1:3
Sep 21, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs IFK Berga
3:0
May 31, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Berga vs Karlskrona
1:2
Oct 13, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs IFK Berga
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlskrona Compare

Top Goalscorer Lundqvist H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gillen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

IFK Berga Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingemarsson T. T. O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlskrona 66 / 100
IFK Berga 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlskrona IFK Berga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlskrona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlskrona's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

IFK Berga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Karlskrona went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlskrona VS IFK Berga
3.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlskrona

(Home)
04 Oct
Karlskrona
2 : 1
Linero IF
26 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 4
Karlskrona
19 Sept
Karlskrona
2 : 0
Oskarshamn
12 Sept
Solvesborgs
0 : 2
Karlskrona
06 Sept
Staffanstorp United
0 : 2
Karlskrona
Page 1 of 6

IFK Berga

(Away)
04 Oct
IFK Berga
3 : 0
Osterlen FF
27 Sept
Solvesborgs
3 : 2
IFK Berga
19 Sept
IFK Berga
4 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
12 Sept
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
IFK Berga
06 Sept
IFK Berga
1 : 3
Lilla Torg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 24 19 3 2 63:21 60
2 IFK Trelleborg 24 15 5 4 51:23 50
3 Oskarshamn 24 14 3 7 60:30 45
4 IFK Berga 24 12 4 8 52:36 40
5 Nosaby IF 24 11 6 7 45:39 39
6 Linero IF 24 12 2 10 45:41 38
7 Vaxjo Norra 24 9 8 7 31:33 35
8 Osterlen FF 24 8 6 10 37:41 30
9 Lilla Torg 24 6 10 8 33:41 28
10 Solvesborgs 24 9 1 14 35:46 28
11 Staffanstorp United 24 6 8 10 37:41 26
12 Torns 24 7 0 17 31:66 21
13 Rappe GOIF 24 4 6 14 25:53 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 24 4 2 18 26:60 14
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)