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Karlskrona vs IFK Malmo

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 game between Karlskrona and IFK Malmo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Malmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Karlskrona
20%
Draws
9%
IFK Malmo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karlskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Karlskrona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Karlskrona taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 20%
IFK Malmo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlskrona IFK Malmo
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 26 3
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 2.21 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs IFK Malmo
0:2
May 7, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Malmo vs Karlskrona
1:2
Aug 7, 2016 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs IFK Malmo
2:2
Apr 23, 2016 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Malmo vs Karlskrona
0:6
Oct 3, 2015 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs IFK Malmo
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlskrona 85 / 100
IFK Malmo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlskrona IFK Malmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlskrona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlskrona scored in 81% of their last 42 games.

Defensive concern: IFK Malmo conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Karlskrona stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlskrona VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlskrona

(Home)
12 Sept
Solvesborgs
0 : 2
Karlskrona
06 Sept
Staffanstorp United
0 : 2
Karlskrona
30 Aug
Karlskrona
4 : 1
IFK Berga
22 Aug
Karlskrona
5 : 0
Vaxjo Norra
15 Aug
Lilla Torg
1 : 4
Karlskrona
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IFK Malmo

(Away)
31 Jan
Olympic
0 : 0
IFK Malmo
22 Oct
IFK Malmo
2 : 3
Nosaby IF
15 Oct
Osterlen FF
3 : 2
IFK Malmo
07 Oct
IFK Berga
1 : 1
IFK Malmo
30 Sept
IFK Malmo
1 : 7
Rosengard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosengard 26 20 3 3 62:27 63
2 Hassleholms IF 26 19 5 2 60:17 62
3 IFK Hassleholm 26 14 5 7 58:43 47
4 Karlskrona 26 13 7 6 47:32 46
5 Rappe GOIF 26 14 3 9 65:38 45
6 Simrishamn 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
7 Kristianstad 26 9 7 10 33:31 34
8 Balkan 26 9 6 11 41:53 33
9 IFK Berga 26 9 4 13 38:47 31
10 IFK Trelleborg 26 6 9 11 44:48 27
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 34:52 26
12 Osterlen FF 26 7 4 15 37:54 25
13 VMA 26 5 2 19 26:80 17
14 IFK Malmo 26 3 7 16 37:64 16
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 (Relegation)