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Karlskrona vs Osterlen FF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Own Goal
27' Event
Bjornson L.
37' Event
Ibishi B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland game between Karlskrona and Osterlen FF finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlskrona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Karlskrona
20%
Draws
20%
Osterlen FF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karlskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karlskrona come out ahead of Osterlen FF on wins alone.
  • Model gives Karlskrona a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 20%
Osterlen FF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlskrona Osterlen FF
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.23 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Karlskrona
0:3
Apr 19, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Osterlen FF
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Osterlen FF
3:0
Jun 15, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Karlskrona
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Osterlen FF
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlskrona Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjornson L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Osterlen FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibishi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlskrona 85 / 100
Osterlen FF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlskrona Osterlen FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlskrona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlskrona found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Osterlen FF has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Karlskrona stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlskrona VS Osterlen FF
3.63 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlskrona

(Home)
26 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 4
Karlskrona
19 Sept
Karlskrona
2 : 0
Oskarshamn
12 Sept
Solvesborgs
0 : 2
Karlskrona
06 Sept
Staffanstorp United
0 : 2
Karlskrona
30 Aug
Karlskrona
4 : 1
IFK Berga
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Osterlen FF

(Away)
27 Sept
Osterlen FF
3 : 3
Lilla Torg
18 Sept
Staffanstorp United
2 : 2
Osterlen FF
12 Sept
Osterlen FF
1 : 4
IFK Trelleborg
05 Sept
Osterlen FF
6 : 0
IFK Karlshamn
30 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
3 : 0
Osterlen FF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 23 18 3 2 61:20 57
2 IFK Trelleborg 23 14 5 4 49:23 47
3 Oskarshamn 23 13 3 7 58:30 42
4 Linero IF 23 12 2 9 44:39 38
5 IFK Berga 23 11 4 8 49:36 37
6 Nosaby IF 23 10 6 7 42:37 36
7 Vaxjo Norra 23 9 8 6 31:31 35
8 Osterlen FF 23 8 6 9 37:38 30
9 Solvesborgs 23 9 1 13 35:42 28
10 Lilla Torg 23 6 10 7 31:38 28
11 Staffanstorp United 23 5 8 10 33:41 23
12 Torns 23 7 0 16 31:64 21
13 Rappe GOIF 23 4 6 13 25:51 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 23 3 2 18 24:60 11
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)