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Karlskrona vs Osterlen FF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlskrona play Osterlen FF in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Karlskrona averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Osterlen FF averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. In past meetings, Karlskrona won 3, Osterlen FF won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Karlskrona and 1.38 for Osterlen FF. This points to a Karlskrona double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Karlskrona
17%
Draws
34%
Osterlen FF
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Karlskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Karlskrona picked up more points recently compared to Osterlen FF.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 17%
Osterlen FF Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlskrona Osterlen FF
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 19 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.92 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Karlskrona
0:3
Apr 19, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Osterlen FF
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Osterlen FF
3:0
Jun 15, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Karlskrona
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Osterlen FF
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlskrona Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjornson L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Osterlen FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibishi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlskrona 48 / 100
Osterlen FF 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlskrona Osterlen FF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Karlskrona or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Karlskrona attacking → ← attacking Osterlen FF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlskrona scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

Osterlen FF let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Karlskrona went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Osterlen FF lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 46
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Karlskrona1493228:1630
2Linero IF1481528:1925
3Oskarshamn1473427:1724
4IFK Trelleborg1365219:1123
5Vaxjo Norra1465320:1723
6IFK Berga1463527:1921
7Nosaby IF1355323:2120
8Osterlen FF1453618:2118
9Lilla Torg1446415:2018
10Staffanstorp United1445526:2617
11Solvesborgs1451822:2316
12Torns1450920:3715
13Rappe GOIF1433814:2512
14IFK Karlshamn14211114:297