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Karlslund vs Smedby

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlslund host Smedby in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Karlslund at 1.13 goals for, 1.5 against; Smedby at 1.13 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Karlslund have won 1 to Smedby's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.31) point toward Smedby. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Karlslund
39%
Draws
31%
Smedby
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Smedby have won more games recently than Karlslund.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Smedby have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Karlslund Clean Sheet 18%
Smedby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlslund Smedby
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Karlslund
4:1
Oct 21, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Smedby
0:5
Jun 11, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Karlslund
3:0
Aug 8, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Karlslund
1:4
Jul 7, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Smedby
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlslund 31 / 100
Smedby 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlslund Smedby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Karlslund scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Smedby conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Karlslund went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlslund VS Smedby
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlslund

(Home)
02 Aug
Sleipner
4 : 2
Karlslund
28 Jun
Karlslund
2 : 2
Fittja IF
21 Jun
Karlslund
1 : 0
Farsta
17 Jun
Forward
2 : 2
Karlslund
13 Jun
Fittja IF
2 : 1
Karlslund
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Smedby

(Away)
01 Aug
Smedby
2 : 0
Orebro Syrianska
24 Jun
Lindo FF
2 : 0
Smedby
21 Jun
Smedby
1 : 4
Haninge
15 Jun
Nykopings
0 : 1
Smedby
07 Jun
Orebro Syrianska
2 : 1
Smedby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forward 15 10 2 3 30:18 32
2 Haninge 15 10 1 4 38:26 31
3 Nykopings 15 9 2 4 27:13 29
4 Sleipner 15 8 4 3 30:28 28
5 Farsta 15 8 2 5 31:18 26
6 Smedby 15 8 2 5 31:21 26
7 Ragsved 15 6 5 4 31:24 23
8 Fittja IF 15 6 2 7 27:29 20
9 Lindo FF 15 5 2 8 22:24 17
10 Orebro Syrianska 15 5 1 9 16:18 16
11 Syrianska 15 4 3 8 24:36 15
12 Eker Orebro 15 4 2 9 18:40 14
13 Karlslund 15 3 4 8 17:27 13
14 Nacka FC 15 2 2 11 14:34 8
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)