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Karlslund vs Smedby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
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Match Events

86' Event
Frisk C.
90' Event
Danielsson S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Södra Svealand matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Karlslund
35%
Draws
13%
Smedby
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karlslund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Smedby have won more games recently than Karlslund.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Karlslund taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Karlslund Clean Sheet 18%
Smedby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlslund Smedby
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Smedby
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Karlslund
4:1
Oct 21, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Smedby
0:5
Jun 11, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Karlslund
3:0
Aug 8, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Karlslund
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlslund Compare

Top Goalscorer Danielsson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Frisk C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlslund 85 / 100
Smedby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlslund Smedby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlslund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Karlslund scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Smedby let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Karlslund remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karlslund VS Smedby
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlslund

(Home)
04 Oct
Nacka FC
1 : 4
Karlslund
27 Sept
Karlslund
2 : 2
Forward
19 Sept
Farsta
0 : 3
Karlslund
12 Sept
Karlslund
0 : 3
Orebro Syrianska
05 Sept
Eker Orebro
3 : 3
Karlslund
Page 1 of 6

Smedby

(Away)
02 Oct
Smedby
1 : 1
Nykopings
27 Sept
Haninge
2 : 1
Smedby
19 Sept
Smedby
0 : 1
Fittja IF
12 Sept
Farsta
3 : 0
Smedby
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Farsta 24 14 4 6 49:26 46
2 Sleipner 24 13 6 5 49:36 45
3 Forward 24 13 5 6 45:29 44
4 Nykopings 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Haninge 24 13 4 7 58:45 43
6 Ragsved 24 11 6 7 45:37 39
7 Smedby 24 10 6 8 41:33 36
8 Fittja IF 24 10 3 11 37:38 33
9 Karlslund 24 8 7 9 37:38 31
10 Orebro Syrianska 24 8 4 12 27:29 28
11 Syrianska 24 7 5 12 38:52 26
12 Nacka FC 24 7 3 14 26:45 24
13 Lindo FF 24 6 2 16 32:50 20
14 Eker Orebro 24 4 3 17 29:71 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)