Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlstad II vs Kumla

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Persson M.
36' Event
Trautman L. E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Karlstad II
35%
Draws
46%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kumla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Karlstad II haven't matched Kumla's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Karlstad II a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Karlstad II Clean Sheet 16%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlstad II Kumla
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Kumla
1:1
Nov 6, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Kumla
3:0
Aug 30, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Karlstad II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlstad II Compare

Top Goalscorer Trautman L. E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kumla Compare

Top Goalscorer Persson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad II 36 / 100
Kumla 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlstad II Kumla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Karlstad II scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Kumla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Karlstad II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad II VS Kumla
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlstad II

(Home)
20 Sept
Karlstad II
0 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
12 Sept
Karlstad II
1 : 4
Skara
05 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 2
Karlstad II
29 Aug
Karlstad II
1 : 3
Vanersborgs FK
23 Aug
Motala
2 : 2
Karlstad II
Page 1 of 6

Kumla

(Away)
26 Sept
Kumla
1 : 0
Lidkoping
18 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 1
Kumla
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
04 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
IFK Skovde
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 23 19 3 1 54:18 60
2 Skara 23 15 5 3 48:25 50
3 IFK Skovde 22 12 5 5 38:25 41
4 Ahlafors 23 11 7 5 49:26 40
5 Grebbestad 23 12 3 8 42:33 39
6 Herrestads AIF 22 9 7 6 41:37 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 22 8 6 8 37:29 30
8 Vanersborgs FK 23 8 4 11 30:39 28
9 Kumla 23 6 7 10 22:39 25
10 Lidkoping 23 6 6 11 28:42 24
11 Motala 22 5 8 9 29:32 23
12 Tord 22 3 9 10 25:37 18
13 Karlstad II 22 2 7 13 23:43 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 23 2 3 18 24:65 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)