Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlstad II vs Kumla

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Persson M.
36' Event
Trautman L. E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Karlstad II
33%
Draws
40%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kumla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlstad II haven't matched Kumla's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kumla a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Karlstad II Clean Sheet 18%
Kumla Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlstad II Kumla
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Kumla
1:1
Nov 6, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Kumla
3:0
Aug 30, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Karlstad II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlstad II Compare

Top Goalscorer Trautman L. E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Kumla Compare

Top Goalscorer Persson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad II 28 / 100
Kumla 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlstad II Kumla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Karlstad II scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Kumla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Karlstad II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad II VS Kumla
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408