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Karlstad vs FC Arlanda

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Sola Arena, Karlstad
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlstad host FC Arlanda in the Division 1 - Norra. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. FC Arlanda have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while Karlstad have conceded 1 and scored 1.62. Head-to-head, Karlstad have won 2 to FC Arlanda's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.94, favoring FC Arlanda. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Karlstad
30%
Draws
52%
FC Arlanda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Arlanda have won more games recently than Karlstad.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Karlstad have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 10%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlstad FC Arlanda
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.62 1.89
Goals Conceded 1 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Karlstad
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Karlstad
3:5
May 29, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs FC Arlanda
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad 30 / 100
FC Arlanda 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlstad FC Arlanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Arlanda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Karlstad scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

FC Arlanda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

Karlstad has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad VS FC Arlanda
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlstad

(Home)
19 Sept
Enkopings SK
2 : 2
Karlstad
16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0
FBK Karlstad
12 Sept
IFK Stocksund
2 : 1
Karlstad
05 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2
Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

FC Arlanda

(Away)
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2
Hammarby TFF
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
06 Sept
FC Arlanda
1 : 2
Umea FC
29 Aug
IFK Stocksund
2 : 3
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 24 17 3 4 57:20 54
2 AFC Eskilstuna 24 14 4 6 45:32 46
3 Hammarby TFF 24 13 6 5 50:23 45
4 FC Arlanda 23 12 6 5 40:27 42
5 Karlstad 23 11 6 6 35:23 39
6 FBK Karlstad 23 11 6 6 36:32 39
7 Enkopings SK 23 12 3 8 37:38 39
8 Assyriska FF 23 9 5 9 42:40 32
9 Gefle 23 9 3 11 29:41 30
10 Umea FC 23 8 5 10 31:37 29
11 Karlbergs 23 8 4 11 29:38 28
12 Sollentuna 24 5 9 10 22:33 24
13 Vasalund 23 6 6 11 34:48 24
14 Pitea 23 4 6 13 27:44 18
15 FC Jarfalla 24 5 3 16 32:54 18
16 IFK Stocksund 24 3 5 16 44:60 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)