Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Sola Arena

Karlstad

2 - 1

FC Jarfalla

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Wurtz A.

26'

Kack Ofordu K.

46'

Sub

Miguel W. In: Bengtsson J.

Out: Miguel W.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Karlstad and FC Jarfalla finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Karlstad

Draws

FC Jarfalla

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Karlstad carry the better recent record into this one.
Karlstad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Karlstad Clean Sheet 20%

FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Karlstad	FC Jarfalla
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	14	13
Draws	5	5
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	2	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.25	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 1 - Norra

Karlstad vs FC Jarfalla

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Kack Ofordu K.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

FC Jarfalla Compare

Top Goalscorer Wurtz A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad 85 / 100

FC Jarfalla 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Karlstad FC Jarfalla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlstad's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Jarfalla conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Karlstad remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad VS FC Jarfalla

2 Goals Scored 1.5

0.25 Goals Conceded 2.38

63% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	14	10	2	2	38:11	32
2	Karlstad	14	9	3	2	22:9	30
3	FC Arlanda	14	8	5	1	23:10	29
4	FC Stockholm Internazionale	14	8	3	3	28:14	27
5	Enkopings SK	14	8	1	5	24:23	25
6	FBK Karlstad	14	7	3	4	23:20	24
7	AFC Eskilstuna	14	5	4	5	23:24	19
8	Karlbergs	14	5	3	6	23:23	18
9	Umea FC	14	4	4	6	20:24	16
10	FC Jarfalla	14	4	3	7	21:27	15
11	Vasalund	14	4	3	7	20:30	15
12	Assyriska FF	14	3	5	6	22:29	14
13	Gefle	14	4	2	8	17:29	14
14	Sollentuna	14	2	7	5	12:19	13
15	Pitea	14	2	3	9	16:32	9
16	IFK Stocksund	14	1	5	8	28:36	8