Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlstad vs Vasalund

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Sola Arena, Karlstad
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nilsson King E.
Assist: Bellman H.
22'
Bjorklund K.
33'
Torppa E.

AI Match Summary

Karlstad in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karlstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Karlstad
15%
Draws
64%
Vasalund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasalund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Vasalund haven't matched Karlstad's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Karlstad a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Karlstad here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 12%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlstad Vasalund
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.62 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Vasalund
5:0
Aug 24, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Vasalund
2:3
Jun 8, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Karlstad
1:3
Aug 11, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Vasalund
2:0
Apr 27, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Karlstad
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsson King E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miguel W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vasalund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad 35 / 100
Vasalund 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlstad Vasalund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vasalund conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Karlstad scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Away concern: Vasalund has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad VS Vasalund
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlstad

(Home)
12 Sept
IFK Stocksund
2 : 1
Karlstad
05 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2
Karlstad
22 Aug
Sollentuna
2 : 1
Karlstad
18 Aug
Karlstad
0 : 2
Sandviken
Page 1 of 6

Vasalund

(Away)
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
Vasalund
06 Sept
Vasalund
2 : 3
Enkopings SK
30 Aug
Umea FC
3 : 2
Vasalund
23 Aug
Vasalund
4 : 3
IFK Stocksund
20 Aug
Vasalund
1 : 2
Norrkoping
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 21 14 3 4 48:17 45
2 Hammarby TFF 21 12 5 4 46:18 41
3 AFC Eskilstuna 21 12 4 5 36:27 40
4 Karlstad 21 11 4 6 33:21 37
5 FBK Karlstad 21 11 4 6 36:32 37
6 FC Arlanda 21 10 6 5 34:25 36
7 Enkopings SK 21 11 2 8 32:34 35
8 Assyriska FF 21 8 5 8 35:34 29
9 Karlbergs 21 8 4 9 29:31 28
10 Gefle 21 8 3 10 28:39 27
11 Sollentuna 21 5 8 8 19:28 23
12 Vasalund 21 6 5 10 33:43 23
13 Umea FC 21 6 5 10 26:37 23
14 Pitea 21 3 6 12 24:41 15
15 FC Jarfalla 21 4 3 14 24:47 15
16 IFK Stocksund 21 3 5 13 41:50 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)