Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karnobat vs Rakovski 2011

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2017/2018 game between Karnobat and Rakovski 2011 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karnobat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Karnobat
15%
Draws
85%
Rakovski 2011
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rakovski 2011

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Rakovski 2011 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Rakovski 2011 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Karnobat Clean Sheet 20%
Rakovski 2011 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karnobat Rakovski 2011
Matches Played 38 33
Wins 3 8
Draws 3 2
Losses 32 23
Goals Scored 0.55 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.92 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2018 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Karnobat
2:1
Nov 11, 2017 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Rakovski 2011
4:1
Apr 5, 2017 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Karnobat
2:1
Sep 17, 2016 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Rakovski 2011
7:2
Apr 29, 2016 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Karnobat
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karnobat 10 / 100
Rakovski 2011 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karnobat Rakovski 2011

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rakovski 2011 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakovski 2011 has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Rakovski 2011 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Karnobat scored in 26% of their last 38 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rakovski 2011
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karnobat

(Home)
31 May
Maritsa Milevo
3 : 0
Karnobat
24 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
17 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
14 May
Yambol 1915
3 : 0
Karnobat
10 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
Spartak Plovdiv
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Rakovski 2011

(Away)
27 May
Sozopol
4 : 1
Rakovski 2011
23 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 5
Yambol 1915
16 May
Rakovski 2011
0 : 1
Sekirovo Rakovski
13 May
OFC Haskovo
2 : 3
Rakovski 2011
09 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arda 34 30 4 0 142:7 94
2 Zagorets 34 22 5 7 67:27 71
3 Radnevo 34 17 8 9 63:34 59
4 Rozova Dolina 34 17 6 11 64:41 57
5 Atletik Kuklen 34 17 5 12 55:51 56
6 Sokol Markovo 34 16 5 13 63:49 53
7 Karnobat 34 16 4 14 65:50 52
8 Levski Karlovo 34 16 3 15 51:58 51
9 Borislav Parvomay 34 15 5 14 65:62 50
10 Asenovets 34 14 7 13 53:55 49
11 Dimitrovgrad 34 15 3 16 46:62 48
12 Gigant Saedinenie 34 12 7 15 33:53 43
13 Svilengrad 1921 34 13 4 17 52:89 43
14 Evrokolezh 34 12 6 16 63:71 42
15 Yambol 1915 34 11 5 18 62:59 38
16 Rakovski 2011 34 11 2 21 44:65 35
17 Vereya 2 34 10 3 21 45:88 33
18 Yagoda 34 0 2 32 15:127 2
Promotion - Vtora liga 2018/2019 (Main)