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Karonga United vs Masters FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sibale G.
33' Event
Davie S.
55' Event
Ndhlovu P.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Karonga United and Masters FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Masters FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Karonga United
35%
Draws
35%
Masters FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Masters FC haven't matched Karonga United's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Karonga United taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Karonga United Clean Sheet 68%
Masters FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karonga United Masters FC
Matches Played 29 15
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.9 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super League
Karonga United vs Masters FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karonga United Compare

Top Goalscorer Sibale G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Masters FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Davie S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndhlovu P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karonga United 46 / 100
Masters FC 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karonga United Masters FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karonga United found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Masters FC has conceded goals in 60% of their last 15 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Karonga United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karonga United VS Masters FC
1 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karonga United

(Home)
06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0
Karonga United
23 Aug
Karonga United
1 : 1
Chitipa United
16 Aug
Karonga United
0 : 1
Big Bullets
09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1
Karonga United
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1
Creck Sporting
Page 1 of 6

Masters FC

(Away)
05 Sept
Red Lions
0 : 0
Masters FC
22 Aug
Masters FC
1 : 2
Blue Eagles
15 Aug
MAFCO
1 : 1
Masters FC
09 Aug
Masters FC
1 : 0
Civo Utd
26 Jul
Mighty Wanderers FC
1 : 1
Masters FC
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blue Eagles 15 10 1 4 24:16 31
2 Big Bullets 15 8 6 1 20:7 30
3 Mighty Wanderers FC 15 8 5 2 27:11 29
4 Silver Strikers 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
5 Masters FC 15 6 4 5 17:16 22
6 Moyale Barracks 15 5 6 4 16:17 21
7 Chitipa United 15 6 3 6 11:16 21
8 Red Lions 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
9 Mitundu Baptist 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
10 Civo Utd 15 6 2 7 10:14 20
11 Ekhaya 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
12 Dedza Dynamos 15 3 6 6 9:19 15
13 Karonga United 15 3 5 7 14:23 14
14 MAFCO 15 3 4 8 12:17 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 15 3 3 9 15:22 12
16 Creck Sporting 15 2 4 9 11:20 10
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)