Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Moyale Barracks
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Moyale Barracks have won more games recently than Karonga United.
- Moyale Barracks are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Karonga United Clean Sheet 16%
Moyale Barracks Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karonga United | Moyale Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Super League
Karonga United vs Moyale Barracks
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Super League
Karonga United vs Moyale Barracks
3:1
Aug 3, 2025 Super League
Moyale Barracks vs Karonga United
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Super League
Moyale Barracks vs Karonga United
1:0
Jun 23, 2024 Super League
Karonga United vs Moyale Barracks
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Karonga United 28 / 100
Moyale Barracks 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Karonga United Moyale Barracks
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Moyale Barracks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Karonga United scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.
Defensive concern: Moyale Barracks conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Karonga United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Karonga United VS Moyale Barracks
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Karonga United
(Home) 06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0 Karonga United
23 Aug
Karonga United
1 : 1 Chitipa United
16 Aug
Karonga United
0 : 1 Big Bullets
09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1 Karonga United
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1 Creck Sporting
Page 1 of 7
23 Aug
Karonga United
1 : 1 Chitipa United
16 Aug
Karonga United
0 : 1 Big Bullets
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1 Creck Sporting
04 Jul
Karonga United
1 : 3 Dedza Dynamos
28 Jun
Karonga United
0 : 0 Moyale Barracks
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Moyale Barracks
(Away) 05 Sept
MAFCO
1 : 2 Moyale Barracks
22 Aug
Moyale Barracks
2 : 2 Kamuzu Barracks
15 Aug
Red Lions
1 : 0 Moyale Barracks
08 Aug
Moyale Barracks
1 : 1 Mighty Wanderers FC
25 Jul
Civo Utd
0 : 1 Moyale Barracks
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
MAFCO
1 : 2 Moyale Barracks
15 Aug
Red Lions
1 : 0 Moyale Barracks
25 Jul
Civo Utd
0 : 1 Moyale Barracks
04 Jul
Blue Eagles
1 : 0 Moyale Barracks
28 Jun
Karonga United
0 : 0 Moyale Barracks
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Eagles | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24:16 | 31 |
| 2 | Big Bullets | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 20:7 | 30 |
| 3 | Mighty Wanderers FC | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 27:11 | 29 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23:10 | 29 |
| 5 | Masters FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Moyale Barracks | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:17 | 21 |
| 7 | Chitipa United | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | 21 |
| 8 | Red Lions | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Mitundu Baptist | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 20 |
| 10 | Civo Utd | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10:14 | 20 |
| 11 | Ekhaya | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:14 | 18 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 9:19 | 15 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:23 | 14 |
| 14 | MAFCO | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12:17 | 13 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15:22 | 12 |
| 16 | Creck Sporting | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11:20 | 10 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
