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Karpaty Lviv vs Bukovyna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Ukraina Stadium, Lviv
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Fellipe Vieira
Assist: Moha Moukhliss
8' Event
Rusyn N.
Assist: Fellipe Vieira
49'
Vitenchuk V.

AI Match Summary

Karpaty Lviv in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karpaty Lviv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Karpaty Lviv
20%
Draws
33%
Bukovyna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karpaty Lviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karpaty Lviv lately — more wins on the board than Bukovyna.
  • Win probability leans Karpaty Lviv's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Karpaty Lviv Clean Sheet 20%
Bukovyna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karpaty Lviv Bukovyna
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 18 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.93 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.62 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Premier League
Karpaty Lviv vs Bukovyna
3:0
Sep 18, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Bukovyna vs Karpaty Lviv
1:0
Nov 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Karpaty Lviv vs Bukovyna
0:1
Jul 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Karpaty Lviv vs Bukovyna
2:3
Oct 8, 2023 Persha Liga
Bukovyna vs Karpaty Lviv
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karpaty Lviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Fellipe Vieira
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rusyn N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Bukovyna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karpaty Lviv 42 / 100
Bukovyna 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karpaty Lviv Bukovyna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karpaty Lviv found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Karpaty Lviv remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Bukovyna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Karpaty Lviv VS Bukovyna
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Karpaty Lviv

(Home)
03 Oct
KV Mechelen
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
20 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 1
Veres Rivne
16 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
11 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 2
Karpaty Lviv
05 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 2
Shakhtar
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Bukovyna

(Away)
03 Oct
Bukovyna
0 : 0
Epitsentr
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 2
Bukovyna
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 3
Bukovyna
19 Sept
FC Kharkiv
2 : 0
Bukovyna
16 Sept
Bukovyna
0 : 1
LNZ Cherkasy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhtar 8 7 0 1 18:4 21
2 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
3 FC Kharkiv 7 5 0 2 14:5 15
4 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
5 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
6 Veres Rivne 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
7 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
8 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
9 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
10 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
11 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
12 Ch. Odesa 7 1 2 4 4:9 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 7 0 2 5 5:18 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)